NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Canadiens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5c151c7596432707490650ccf3cf230e96c11ea584a9deabb4b33558cd7d2ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Red Wings, Canadiens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,226
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,226 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Red Wings | 48c | 10,436$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Red Wings | 44c | 8,466$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.22 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Red Wings | 45c | 8,397$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.52 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 6,724$3,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.44 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…f91cbacked Canadiens | 56c | 5,759$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Canadiens | 56c | 4,543$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,008.37 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Canadiens | 74c | 4,050$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.34 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7310…ddfdbacked Red Wings | 44c | 4,032$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Canadiens | 55c | 2,511$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.1 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Canadiens | 55c | 1,818$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.18 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Canadiens | 54c | 1,770$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.4 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5293…2f35backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,715$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.08 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c7…b103backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,703$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7137…439ebacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,703$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,520$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.4 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf414…cd58backed Canadiens | 56c | 1,427$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.73 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Red Wings | 47c | 1,226$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,226$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,211$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.31 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a81ebacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,211$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf98c…bf06backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,085$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Red Wings | 47c | 1,085$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,058$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.91 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c43…1f64backed Red Wings | 45c | 987$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.15 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65d8…9462backed Canadiens | 55c | 987$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Canadiens | 52c | 984.1$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.37 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf7…7894backed Red Wings | 47c | 912.77$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bab…b470backed Canadiens | 53c | 912.77$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c2…7fe7backed Canadiens | 57c | 905.26$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Red Wings | 47c | 897.09$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.63 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Canadiens | 56c | 892.83$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Canadiens | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Canadiens | 50c | 694$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Red Wings | 43c | 686.23$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.12 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257d…bfc1backed Canadiens | 39c | 637.28$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…21d6backed Red Wings | 48c | 630$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.4 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings | 45c | 602.37$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.91 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Red Wings | 43c | 483$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.69 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 54c | 464.23$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.55 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Canadiens | 52c | 429.67$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.24 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Canadiens | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8554…c28dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 410$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Canadiens | 53c | 352.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.47 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Canadiens | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.88 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canadiens | 75c | 323.66$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Canadiens | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Wings | 43c | 251.89$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Red Wings | 43c | 246.21$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8eefbacked Canadiens | 55c | 240$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked Canadiens | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Wings | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Canadiens | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…207dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Canadiens | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 45c | 190.86$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.82 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308d…2abcbacked Canadiens | 54c | 188.89$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Canadiens | 53c | 179$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.13 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Canadiens | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Canadiens | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…ec29backed Red Wings | 46c | 172.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Canadiens | 55c | 134.35$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Canadiens | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…2be6backed Red Wings | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a75…ff83backed Red Wings | 46c | 120$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83ec…e602backed Canadiens | 54c | 120$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…f409backed Red Wings | 45c | 119.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bd…4201backed Red Wings | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65a…552ebacked Canadiens | 53c | 114$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7e…a44cbacked Red Wings | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25d…d547backed Canadiens | 55c | 113$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Wings | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Red Wings | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe109…b0ccbacked Red Wings | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca30…f594backed Canadiens | 55c | 111$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2a…6b73backed Canadiens | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d95…7114backed Canadiens | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2530…0f86backed Red Wings | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942c…0625backed Red Wings | 46c | 110$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607f…b88fbacked Canadiens | 54c | 110$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cf…4194backed Red Wings | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Canadiens | 55c | 109.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…a19bbacked Canadiens | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2d…bf24backed Red Wings | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe66e…be29backed Canadiens | 54c | 105$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…d673backed Canadiens | 56c | 103.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…e8f5backed Red Wings | 44c | 102.86$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaac…a77ebacked Canadiens | 54c | 101.2$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…45bdbacked Red Wings | 46c | 101.2$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…7dfdbacked Canadiens | 55c | 101$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b9…9431backed Red Wings | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Canadiens | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Red Wings | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Canadiens | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2a…50b2backed Red Wings | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Canadiens | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5f6cbacked Canadiens | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.