Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e2f15993fd66710659f14d4b9fc30cabd21d336eade77b3fdb3a4d946f6e59
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $173,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 47c | 16,314$7,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,646.2 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 34c | 12,432$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.89 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 51c | 9,785$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,785.11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 53c | 7,548$4,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,006.08 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…3589backed No | 19c | 6,011$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 23c | 5,313$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.21 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 19c | 5,054$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.76 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeab5…63a1backed No | 9c | 4,950$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 75c | 3,398$2,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.37 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 52c | 3,274$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.98 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,992$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.21 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked No | 53c | 2,810$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 46c | 2,710$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.75 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 56c | 2,501$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.24 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 2,432$1,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.42 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 47c | 2,285$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.79 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 55c | 2,091$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.45 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…1c4bbacked Yes | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e5a8backed No | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 53c | 1,889$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…9713backed Yes | 49c | 1,630$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.24 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 10c | 1,338$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 9c | 1,310$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 8c | 1,161$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 46c | 1,085$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.36 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 51c | 1,032$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.18 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,020$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 52c | 1,008$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.73 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 55c | 1,000$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.5 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 44c | 966.35$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.16 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 51c | 940$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.68 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 46c | 925.09$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.3 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 49c | 900$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 52c | 729.29$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.06 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 80c | 693.75$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 47c | 681.62$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.19 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Yes | 78c | 615.84$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 45c | 611.11$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.11 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 50c | 547$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.5 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 52c | 545$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.4 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 50c | 502.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.89 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Yes | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe1…4628backed No | 23c | 483.78$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe66f…bfb8backed No | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6a44backed Yes | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 64c | 379.82$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.59 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd69a…81eabacked Yes | 47c | 337.09$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.66 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…5e86backed No | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1be…19b7backed Yes | 50c | 323.54$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked No | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked No | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 47c | 290$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.2 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Yes | 47c | 271.41$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…e62cbacked Yes | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 6c | 216.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dc…9830backed Yes | 47c | 212.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 207.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 47c | 204.56$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3189…9409backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf3…5bd4backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…b007backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…c61bbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb55e…856bbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…395ebacked Yes | 51c | 196.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.8 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a5…3b86backed No | 51c | 195.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6b…5209backed No | 51c | 185.15$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed No | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 11c | 179.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 422 | 40.3%170 W · 252 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…f263backed No | 51c | 175.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 49c | 143.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Yes | 48c | 137.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.25 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 51c | 123$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.65 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfb…56dfbacked No | 50c | 103.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…939fbacked Yes | 50c | 103.14$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc90b…b81abacked Yes | 50c | 98.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…577dbacked No | 50c | 98.44$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e6…5468backed Yes | 46c | 96.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked No | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe019…018bbacked Yes | 49c | 87.78$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Yes | 47c | 84.83$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b2…30bcbacked Yes | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…9ce3backed Yes | 46c | 81.5$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…8f41backed Yes | 48c | 74.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.85 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 26c | 74.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x875b…d883backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4964…4fddbacked Yes | 70c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 46c | 56.26$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 160 | 60%96 W · 64 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…c7c8backed Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Yes | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-04-05?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.