Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7929f0c11882ee9b2f3c81acc1fbda3e43e68564971a07a4cbf6742ee1b97229
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Yes | 29c | 6,901$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Yes | 31c | 4,820$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 18c | 4,727$851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.86 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 71c | 997.98$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.78 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Yes | 29c | 899.55$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.72 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 58c | 825.76$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed No | 73c | 817.45$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 21c | 712.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.36 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20c…fa4bbacked Yes | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6b…12e7backed No | 73c | 684.41$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…6364backed Yes | 28c | 625$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94e…c540backed Yes | 28c | 625$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed No | 60c | 550$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 418.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.03 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked No | 70c | 333.33$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa911…9f8abacked No | 72c | 320$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 26c | 311.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.89 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…a82dbacked No | 72c | 210$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953a…6a00backed Yes | 28c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked No | 72c | 145$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed No | 77c | 130.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 61 | 77%47 W · 14 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…5b56backed No | 72c | 110$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Yes | 29c | 99.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Yes | 38c | 84.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 26c | 76.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc7…5697backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6c…1cd8backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…bbcdbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2693…f149backed No | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 71c | 42.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 96 | 37.5%36 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500a…a800backed No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 39.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?this page
- Will Brighton win on 2025-04-05?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-04-05?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.