TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6df8…5332

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
118
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 59 out of 100; worst Euroleague at 36.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT2416.7%4 W · 20 L-6.0wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-33.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.34
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Paris Basketballbacked Paris Basketball · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Valencia vs. Partizanbacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$58
Barcelona vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+117.4%+$122.86
Monaco vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$39.97
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. FC Bayern Munchenbacked FC Bayern Munchen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Paris Basketball vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Barcelona vs. Olympiacos B.C.backed Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Partizan vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Valencia vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked KK Crvena Zvezda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26
Virtus Bologna vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$25
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Panathinaikosbacked Panathinaikos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Partizan vs. Barcelonabacked Partizan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Saski Baskonia vs. Anadolu Efesbacked Anadolu Efes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.45
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
KK Crvena Zvezda vs. Saski Baskoniabacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.2
EuroBasket: Germany vs. Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.72
Euro Basket: Italy vs Sloveniabacked Italy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Euro Basket: Finland vs Serbiabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$161.82
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Lithuaniabacked Lithuania · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$101.59
Euro Basket: Poland vs Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Euro Basket: France vs Sloveniabacked Slovenia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$102
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Turkeybacked Latvia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+185.7%+$46.43
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Arsenal FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.1
Sunderland AFC vs. Everton: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Manchester City (-1.5)backed Manchester City · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.2%+$24.44
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Manchester City vs. Bournemouth: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Leicester City FC win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$89
Will Crystal Palace vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Ipswich vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will West Ham vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea vs. Southampton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2025, EST-100%-$12.37
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+117.4%+$117.39
Will Aston Villa vs. Chelsea end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$71.79
Will Tottenham win on 2025-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Will Liverpool vs. Wolves end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+100%+$26
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$48.9
Spread: 76ers (-4.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+92.3%+$36.92
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.8
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Nets vs. Wizardsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Suns vs. Lakersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Knicks vs. Celticsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST-100%-$41
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 9, 2025, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5)backed Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+92.3%+$32.31
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Manchester City FC vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$77.65
Will PSV win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$97.06
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-2.5)backed RU Saint-Gilloise · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+41.1%+$6.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-51%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jaguars vs. Raidersbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+96.1%+$62.45
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+104.1%+$42.64
Saints vs. Rams: O/U 43.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$38.47
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+122.3%+$53.8
All 5 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-25.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+306%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoorbacked Demoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+550.6%+$165.74
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+61.3%+$11.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+121.7%+$70.6
Will Bitcoin dip to $100k in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$27.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baylor vs. TCUbacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+93%+$93.01
Georgia Tech vs. Dukebacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: OG vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+73.6%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$57.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump releases JFK files by Tuesday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Osasuna end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Werder Bremen vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$84.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.