Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3cb0fa257a218a8f84daebd67891b19213222be78e8be2ab47289a40a0991e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,045
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,045 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked No | 65c | 14,636$9,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,126.74 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Yes | 35c | 14,486$5,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,063.38 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -15.8wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 69c | 13,514$9,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,145.53 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 66c | 12,240$8,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,101.49 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Yes | 34c | 7,752$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 35c | 7,429$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.58 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 76c | 6,717$5,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.61 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5f…bf45backed Yes | 32c | 4,952$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Yes | 25c | 4,727$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 65c | 4,500$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.2 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 67c | 4,426$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,467.55 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 31c | 4,000$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 30c | 3,418$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025.37 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 63c | 2,473$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.84 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Yes | 34c | 2,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 67c | 1,972$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.69 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 27c | 1,846$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c0…cd82backed No | 72c | 1,816$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 34c | 1,586$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.14 | 177 | 45.8%81 W · 96 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.99 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28d9…4ad1backed No | 76c | 1,390$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…27bdbacked Yes | 17c | 1,170$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 65c | 1,165$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.26 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 8c | 1,147$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +32.4wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +142.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 10c | 1,133$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -94.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 36c | 1,124$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,067$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.56 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +29%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb826…8d67backed Yes | 33c | 1,030$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 25c | 1,011$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 31c | 967.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 34c | 829.41$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.16 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9f…a67fbacked No | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Yes | 34c | 798.32$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 57cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa822…64e6backed Yes | 35c | 711.84$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.14 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 52c | 691.16$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.4 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xacb4…7595backed No | 65c | 595.28$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.35 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7532…f9f3backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…35b1backed Yes | 31c | 564.52$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25eb…8ce7backed No | 66c | 495$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fa…a865backed Yes | 31c | 470.97$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 66c | 462.39$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.56 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732b…85f4backed Yes | 34c | 428.65$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.74 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 11c | 415.35$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 33c | 406.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked No | 65c | 383.48$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.32 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 23c | 353.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.95 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…1bd6backed Yes | 33c | 345.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 33cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…8559backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…fe0fbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3390…95d6backed Yes | 35c | 283.11$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 36c | 279.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 36c | 279.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7a…15b5backed Yes | 35c | 278.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x950f…7cd3backed Yes | 35c | 268$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 31c | 267.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes | 33c | 250$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 197 | 35.5%70 W · 127 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 33c | 241$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Yes | 16c | 239.4$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6c…e44fbacked No | 65c | 228$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ca…cf1abacked Yes | 35c | 228$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked No | 65c | 224.29$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Yes | 36c | 220.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 35c | 208.57$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed No | 67c | 207.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 35c | 185.71$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 37c | 177$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.47 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Yes | 38c | 170.86$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b7…af8bbacked Yes | 29c | 169.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6559…6e46backed No | 65c | 167$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…513bbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd4…2067backed No | 65c | 149$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…216dbacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bce…c476backed Yes | 36c | 140.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked No | 68c | 130$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f22…a26ebacked Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df8…5332backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…c95cbacked Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…5c5fbacked Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…4258backed Yes | 32c | 106.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7c…9ad0backed No | 68c | 101.47$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…a901backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b5…afb1backed Yes | 35c | 99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed No | 64c | 94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…515cbacked Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3401…e099backed No | 65c | 84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?this page
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.