TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,742
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$190,818

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,742 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x642c…cd5dbacked No59c97,116$57,298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,298.1920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x561d…4912backed Yes41c97,112$39,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57,296.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Yes39c17,305$6,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,565.429754.6%53 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37d8…b6ddbacked No62c6,452$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00011548.7%56 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes57c5,262$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,255.2179639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed No58c5,172$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes37c4,500$1,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,83228070%196 W · 84 L+49.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+54.1%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes38c4,500$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,791.4179650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed No61c3,256$1,986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,986.395747.4%27 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No64c3,008$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,920.383459.4%495 W · 339 L+25.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed No63c3,007$1,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,894.4314732.7%48 W · 99 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-44%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked No64c2,330$1,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.25444.4%24 W · 30 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes39c2,251$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.3532158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No32c2,121$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.6938645.3%175 W · 211 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No61c2,000$1,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22040046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fc8…39efbacked Yes43c2,000$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked No57c1,920$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.212733.3%9 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes39c1,800$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10144939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No61c1,375$835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$835.4590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8463…a509backed No60c1,200$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeefa…d1a2backed Yes40c1,200$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$719.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed No61c1,199$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.396854.4%37 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-20.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4407…8f2bbacked No61c1,179$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.291741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-33.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d17…ac75backed No3c1,066$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.833910.3%4 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No64c1,017$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.6781559%481 W · 334 L+32.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No62c930$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.6659958.9%353 W · 246 L+26.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No63c914$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1965557.7%378 W · 277 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x78ad…b32ebacked No64c903.89$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+35.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked No25c734$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.519743.7%86 W · 111 L+32.4wins+0.16per pick27cpaid+142.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked Yes41c602.9$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.872259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25eb…8ce7backed Yes38c595.98$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.0617447.7%83 W · 91 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked No9c555.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5323.1%1 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick11cpaid-94.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Yes35c500.01$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.015536.4%20 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Yes37c434.14$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.512941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1685959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked No37c390.1$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.444146.3%19 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4e…b5efbacked Yes39c372.36$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.14250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1668…ebebbacked Yes41c346.07$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No37c333.32$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.337335.6%26 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked No60c331.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011855.1%65 W · 53 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe742…7559backed No62c330.65$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2055253.8%28 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68fa…c900backed No62c322.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-29.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9320…95ddbacked Yes63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11111761.5%72 W · 45 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47ee…a079backed Yes39c285.03$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.033652.8%19 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d80…219abacked Yes63c274.6$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.61631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.26per pick57cpaid-44.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd67e…1e9fbacked Yes38c256.71$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.162100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3390…95d6backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.4132737.6%123 W · 204 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d3e…b775backed No62c249.76$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.85450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa970…c980backed No62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd97e…a81ebacked Yes41c240.71$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+22%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bf8…86fcbacked No60c239.85$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.91250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83a7…3bcbbacked No62c238.5$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.8720%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9489…0c10backed No62c232.61$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9a41…88d9backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8bf…c049backed Yes44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.274346.5%20 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa3…1ef8backed Yes38c220.03$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.425100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f5b…be67backed Yes39c213.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+113%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4022…46b6backed Yes39c213.49$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.232100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+122.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d0…6ed6backed No60c211.95$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked No59c199.98$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.993655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x550d…6e19backed Yes38c197.37$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.37475%3 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+72.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Yes65c196.78$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.877458.1%43 W · 31 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb348…747ebacked Yes38c195.18$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+54.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed Yes57c191.9$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.525151%26 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4094…9f0abacked Yes38c181.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.532100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x13dc…f49fbacked No63c181$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda8a…9c0cbacked Yes40c179.83$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+51.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d7…dd52backed No62c179.71$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ace…c22dbacked No62c175.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…d471backed No62c174.94$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed No35c172.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.57911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick33cpaid-66.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x005d…c9bfbacked Yes38c170.16$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x341e…6efbbacked No59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011052.7%58 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes59c167.57$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7637652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013449.3%66 W · 68 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Yes36c166.67$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.675829.3%17 W · 41 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-38.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6046…93a4backed Yes38c162$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.442100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc1bc…4fd7backed Yes37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe870…d830backed No62c157.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Yes37c155$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4519735.5%70 W · 127 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bda…639dbacked Yes37c154$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6f2…3169backed Yes38c153.18$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf938…76e6backed Yes38c152.39$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+131.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed No66c151.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53fd…59f9backed Yes38c150.42$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked Yes36c147.22$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.228752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9809…6ec4backed Yes38c145.05$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d8…1484backed No63c144$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1092…9fe2backed Yes38c141.37$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.65250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd84b…9c38backed Yes38c139.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked No36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d53…1be4backed Yes38c136.05$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.35250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399e…119abacked Yes41c135.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c35…b583backed No61c134.18$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3820%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36f6…a632backed Yes41c133.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.972100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+109.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd47…8277backed Yes51c132.57$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.589949.5%49 W · 50 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5d4…b499backed Yes38c130.71$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.