Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80aad2c172ff64d3e910405c1b72eaa076df7548a9cd6f2beca8f805d566964a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,478
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,165
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,478 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Yes | 35c | 6,865$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.18 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd126…267bbacked Yes | 28c | 5,800$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…268bbacked No | 72c | 5,800$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 64c | 4,379$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,554.94 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 2,254$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.54 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 26c | 1,786$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dc…4741backed Yes | 25c | 1,405$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…9a0abacked Yes | 29c | 624.34$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 29c | 620.69$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 28c | 490.36$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.3 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…3c55backed Yes | 28c | 470$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5938…21ecbacked No | 73c | 431.97$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94eb…37e6backed Yes | 39c | 425.83$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.08 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 424$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.96 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Yes | 29c | 381.77$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 28c | 354.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.07 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e9…0658backed Yes | 29c | 344.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…d6febacked Yes | 29c | 315.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…086fbacked No | 73c | 267.48$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…8061backed No | 73c | 266.4$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 72c | 258.07$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…9c14backed Yes | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 27c | 169.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.89 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed No | 69c | 166$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.07 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x610a…7708backed Yes | 28c | 164.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b2…ba55backed No | 72c | 159$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 71c | 154.83$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.9 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ac…4b00backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…7d9dbacked No | 72c | 147$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd225…c3d4backed Yes | 29c | 145$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…38c5backed No | 72c | 138$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68b6…7544backed No | 72c | 137$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…26bfbacked Yes | 29c | 135$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…0455backed Yes | 28c | 133$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bfb…6a22backed Yes | 29c | 129$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf437…90d4backed Yes | 28c | 128$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ab…496fbacked Yes | 28c | 126.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e86…34d3backed No | 72c | 120$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…098abacked Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 71c | 105.99$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.74 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61e5…7bd5backed Yes | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 26c | 102.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 29c | 102.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 368 | 45.7%168 W · 200 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c24…2bd9backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718c…f792backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…53c8backed No | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 80c | 99.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2e…caccbacked Yes | 28c | 96.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.35per pick | 49cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbc…9dafbacked Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…fe3dbacked Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed No | 74c | 94.31$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 74 | 58.1%43 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7380…c033backed No | 72c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked No | 72c | 89.29$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…c510backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…e0a3backed Yes | 29c | 86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ca…8617backed Yes | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked No | 71c | 80$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e62…4d07backed No | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5194backed Yes | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b3…208ebacked No | 71c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 28c | 70.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…0ed1backed Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…40fabacked No | 71c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…e6cdbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dca…9130backed No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…4a3ebacked Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3674…faedbacked No | 71c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +144%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007a…5b0dbacked Yes | 28c | 63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1be0…e690backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 157 | 26.8%42 W · 115 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8ff1backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7399…8224backed No | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…3cdbbacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d94…0372backed No | 72c | 58.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ada…1f1bbacked Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8c…f075backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe444…8cb6backed No | 72c | 53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd45d…933ebacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc3…de78backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…5bfabacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…b3c6backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9597…62e9backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7722…9ff8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb4b…3708backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b2d…32d7backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…f26ebacked Yes | 29c | 49.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 71c | 49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…cac6backed Yes | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f1…a901backed Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…bba0backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbafc…7939backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f9…f494backed Yes | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d9…a4dcbacked Yes | 28c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d8…4d6fbacked No | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?this page
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-02-25?No won
- Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-02-25?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.