TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5e62…4d07

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
88
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 11, 2025, EDT2941.4%12 W · 17 L-6.1wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
MLB — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Cubs vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Padres vs. Rockiesbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
Phillies vs. Marlinsbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.6
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$20.44
Guardians vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$15
Phillies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.5
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Cubs vs. Rockiesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$11.68
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Tigers vs. Athleticsbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Angels vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Diamondbacks vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$18.5
Rockies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Giants vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$12.24
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Mariners vs. Philliesbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
White Sox vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST2045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+42.9%+$11.36
Thunder vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+61.3%+$24.52
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$48
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+38.9%+$15.56
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+270.4%+$73
Lakers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST+69.5%+$41
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST+28.2%+$14.95
Mavericks vs. Cavaliersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Kings vs. Warriorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$19.88
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$54.6
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$58.5
Heat vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+85.2%+$85.19
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2025, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+57.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Jetsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
Stars vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Blues vs. Kingsbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+284.6%+$71.15
Sharks vs. Sabresbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+194.1%+$58.24
Hurricanes vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Sharks vs. Maple Leafsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2025, EST+334.8%+$53.57
Senators vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+64.2%+$29.52
Stars vs. Flyersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+69.5%+$18.07
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Canadiens vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Ducks vs. Jetsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+244.8%+$31.83
Maple Leafs vs. Islandersbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Islanders vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+112.8%+$58.86
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 18, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 2, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TCU vs. North Carolinabacked TCU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Duke vs. Ole Missbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Notre Dame vs. Georgiabacked Notre Dame · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST+100%+$33
Iowa State vs. Miamibacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$66
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Sep 3, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fever vs. Mercurybacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$31
Wings vs Sparksbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$16.51
Liberty vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$13.4
All 3 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 6, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.5
Cowboys vs. Eaglesbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Dolphins vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+232%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elche CF vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$18.43
Will Real Betis vs. Alaves end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$17.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 27, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTA Finals, Stefanie Graf Group: Jessica Pegula vs Jasmine Paolinibacked Paolini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lecce vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.