NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1add1de94a02fb5096087749e0078cb0d1d7a8b7d66d6ac0ce7d5c7fe702dfe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Trail Blazers, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $361,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $445,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $361,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 22,223$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.29 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 20,181$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 18,098$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.27 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 11,522$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 10,950$2,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77a…bcecbacked Trail Blazers | 0c | 10,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…2569backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5d…0d29backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…d145backed Trail Blazers | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa38…ffb3backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 9,164$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.51 | 109 | 25.7%28 W · 81 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 8,636$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047.24 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 6,004$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,431.82 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 5c | 6,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 4,500$3,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.41 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Nuggets | 78c | 3,905$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.01 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 3,681$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.27 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Nuggets | 79c | 3,003$2,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.57 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4999…5fcebacked Nuggets | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -5.6wins | -0.31per pick | 59cpaid | -61%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.99 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 2,701$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Nuggets | 78c | 2,513$1,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.37 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 2,435$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 2,300$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.96 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Nuggets | 77c | 2,218$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.14 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf482…d3c3backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 2,200$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 95 | 34.7%33 W · 62 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Nuggets | 76c | 2,068$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.78 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 2,000$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.25 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,783$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.83 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc575…3fb1backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,710$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,538$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.46 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Nuggets | 79c | 1,519$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.99 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,500$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…49aabacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,413$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.81 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,383$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 1,248$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.31 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,175$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.75 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nuggets | 77c | 1,172$898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.52 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 1,149$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,132$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.1 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,100$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,039$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.94 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Nuggets | 78c | 1,034$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.41 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…c5c1backed Nuggets | 77c | 1,002$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.39 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…7ff3backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 1,000$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 991.88$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865c…ea31backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 957.3$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Trail Blazers | 17c | 943.65$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Nuggets | 78c | 878$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.16 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 873.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 854.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf7…0f82backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 821.43$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 800$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…3109backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 732.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.9 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 78c | 725.93$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.71 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…70a4backed Nuggets | 79c | 709.64$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.9 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f8…e042backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 670.43$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155a…b549backed Nuggets | 79c | 647.01$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.15 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Nuggets | 77c | 631.79$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.46 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 600.46$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6012…7cd2backed Nuggets | 80c | 562.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 554.76$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.14 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…a0ffbacked Nuggets | 79c | 548.05$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.09 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Nuggets | 78c | 525$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 518.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.61 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 517.67$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfafc…2932backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 501.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 75 | 26.7%20 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Nuggets | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…9c99backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 495.83$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…14a7backed Nuggets | 78c | 488.72$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Nuggets | 78c | 455.13$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf11c…1290backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1322…89c7backed Nuggets | 80c | 421.54$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Nuggets | 76c | 408.92$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f82…d8c7backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 400$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1668…c545backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 387.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 348.35$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.73 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets | 78c | 294$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Nuggets | 77c | 293.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nuggets | 77c | 292.99$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Nuggets | 77c | 280.29$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f25…5dedbacked Nuggets | 78c | 275$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nuggets | 77c | 275$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbf…577cbacked Nuggets | 78c | 252.76$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 104 | 26%27 W · 77 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…208fbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bef…222cbacked Nuggets | 80c | 225$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3541…c96dbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 217.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 29.6%72 W · 171 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 217.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Nuggets | 77c | 215.51$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd334…fcc2backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 214.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 25.9%64 W · 183 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…a37fbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 207.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.83 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.27per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x350d…a3d2backed Nuggets | 78c | 202$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.