TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa88f…208f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Music, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Music at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2025, EDT4420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$49
Celtics vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Mavericks vs. Lakersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wizards vs. Timberwolvesbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST+505.9%+$505.89
Nets vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Hawks vs. Pacersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$63.13
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2025, EST-100%-$50
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Knicks vs. Thunderbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$49.92
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+100.8%+$100.4
Hawks vs. Nuggetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Nets vs. Raptorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Jazz vs. Knicksbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$48.75
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+222.6%+$111.29
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$50
Clippers vs. Pelicansbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+144.5%+$145.92
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST-100%-$17.73
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-52.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$552Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+117.4%+$648
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+29.9%+$29.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-57.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 21, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.