TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Lakers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lakersof Mavericks, Lakers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$547,439
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$548,428

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $547,439 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5314…910cbacked Mavericks21c34,719$7,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,214.1233931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks21c24,036$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018.8747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks17c22,711$3,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,968.711,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Mavericks23c21,140$4,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,862.141,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks15c19,495$2,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,878.873,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Lakers77c18,475$14,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,249.0413560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Mavericks20c18,298$3,572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,572.4222049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mavericks21c11,535$2,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.191,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Mavericks22c7,877$1,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,694.5925016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Lakers78c7,000$5,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5409572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Lakers77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3807860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7320…28b4backed Lakers77c6,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,38012657.1%72 W · 54 L+11.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcad…0dacbacked Lakers78c5,292$4,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,142.957754.5%42 W · 35 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Lakers80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks24c5,000$1,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,198.961,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8258…f208backed Mavericks21c3,948$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$828.157032.9%23 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6ab…5eb9backed Lakers76c3,944$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.96873.5%50 W · 18 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mavericks19c3,871$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$724.770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Lakers75c3,766$2,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.891,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…ea20backed Mavericks23c3,741$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4b6…c3bfbacked Lakers77c3,741$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.37250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Lakers79c3,250$2,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.568642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed Lakers78c3,196$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.0511250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks23c3,168$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.6550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7103…b192backed Mavericks17c3,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006841.2%28 W · 40 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks23c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9640627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Lakers80c2,875$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57519944.7%89 W · 110 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x761a…0e8ebacked Mavericks6c2,632$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.581428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae7…4602backed Lakers78c2,624$2,047 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.251973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks20c2,605$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.85,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Mavericks24c2,600$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62425833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers77c2,500$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Lakers76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60017546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks17c2,327$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40045135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Lakers78c2,298$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.3630443.1%131 W · 173 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Mavericks22c2,216$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.4730440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Mavericks22c2,102$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.4725939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Lakers77c2,041$1,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.2677745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mavericks16c2,026$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.581,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed Mavericks16c2,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3207038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Mavericks26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5206250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks7c2,000$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1331,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Lakers77c2,000$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.993435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Mavericks24c1,992$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.1219448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Mavericks19c1,948$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.0719451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Mavericks13c1,930$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.6719231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Mavericks13c1,856$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.7370640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Mavericks16c1,825$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.718417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Mavericks22c1,793$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.2125138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3de2…0c64backed Lakers76c1,718$1,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.261070%7 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick77cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Mavericks13c1,674$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5649849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Mavericks15c1,497$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3525536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Lakers71c1,431$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2630251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa928…9575backed Mavericks26c1,431$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3651952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb06…630ebacked Lakers65c1,372$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+65.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Lakers74c1,277$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.7413133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Mavericks11c1,228$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3847229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Lakers77c1,200$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27637954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Mavericks9c1,154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x582e…5087backed Mavericks23c1,130$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Lakers78c1,035$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.6417348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdafc…dbadbacked Mavericks24c1,027$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2489131.9%29 W · 62 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Mavericks24c1,020$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14dd…13eebacked Mavericks9c1,006$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89482.1%1 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick6cpaid-67%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Mavericks23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Mavericks24c981.99$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.6519845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks15c969.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Mavericks34c966.46$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.4219152.4%100 W · 91 L+16.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+23%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Lakers77c964.98$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9557760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Lakers78c871.79$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7917943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Mavericks23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks2c750$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf08…bfc7backed Lakers78c713.72$557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.024557.8%26 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Mavericks25c713$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2510643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked Mavericks28c711.77$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.032133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Mavericks24c706.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.236,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks28c704.99$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.0785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks7c700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4947535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Lakers77c690.19$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.743669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks25c672$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Mavericks15c657.44$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.129739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Mavericks13c650$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.515316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x207a…6fecbacked Lakers68c649.98$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2087149.3%35 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Lakers77c638.84$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.4718354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Lakers63c635.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.9738942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8588…de5ebacked Lakers73c631.35$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks2c621.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.645502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Mavericks15c602.05$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1318632.8%61 W · 125 L-12.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks22c599.79$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.4672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Mavericks19c591.16$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3222950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mavericks22c580$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks23c577.88$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6af…d133backed Mavericks23c565.22$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302015%3 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-56.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed Lakers76c553.45$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.51560%9 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+35.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Mavericks19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015646.2%72 W · 84 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c6…2e59backed Mavericks29c515.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.871346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Lakers78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8212941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Lakers79c509.22$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2212759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49b2…ffd0backed Mavericks5c507.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3215613.5%21 W · 135 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.