TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Nets

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Celticsof Celtics, Nets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$761,448
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$877,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $761,448 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7ef4…292cbacked Celtics80c138,000$110,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,600580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea93…cfcabacked Nets20c138,000$27,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,60010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Nets18c51,216$9,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,316.225261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9d…68dcbacked Nets17c51,059$8,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,783.98944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Nets12c20,441$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,422.1934532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd86…f2dcbacked Nets16c18,750$3,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,065520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-48.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Nets7c15,142$1,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.54628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Nets20c10,049$1,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.321,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Nets18c8,971$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.7437734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x674d…def3backed Nets18c8,750$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.494731.9%15 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Nets21c8,416$1,732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,732.013852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Nets16c7,663$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.7133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Nets20c7,639$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,527.8876249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de2…0c64backed Celtics80c5,100$4,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0201070%7 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick77cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Nets7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Nets0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Nets15c4,793$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.6637627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Nets18c4,596$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.316750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Nets1c4,454$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.188783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Nets5c4,000$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1841,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Nets18c3,582$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0717…abb0backed Nets7c3,273$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.85540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-40.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked Celtics80c3,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6001457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Nets1c3,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…bf45backed Nets17c2,893$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010533.3%35 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Nets5c2,730$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.226124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Nets5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Nets14c2,409$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.9626431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Nets11c2,159$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6523237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b8…b745backed Nets15c2,070$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Celtics80c2,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40020047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Celtics80c2,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Nets5c2,000$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9610018%18 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Nets17c1,895$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1556945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Nets15c1,893$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8811019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x644c…8f6bbacked Nets5c1,884$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.065145.1%23 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Nets14c1,846$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.3873647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03b1…77efbacked Nets10c1,776$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+92.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Nets1c1,678$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.777502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Nets18c1,653$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.611,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x49bd…372abacked Nets18c1,630$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.32650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Nets3c1,555$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7534524.3%84 W · 261 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nets18c1,513$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.6685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Nets16c1,395$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2523648.7%115 W · 121 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba1…2d08backed Nets17c1,377$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.351030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Nets6c1,300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.836514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…317bbacked Nets18c1,250$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.9918354.1%99 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa33…8dbcbacked Nets9c1,246$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8429450.3%148 W · 146 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4d5…fe48backed Nets6c1,200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Nets20c1,200$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23651037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Nets19c1,108$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7927848.9%136 W · 142 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Nets9c1,071$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics80c1,052$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.457760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Nets11c1,039$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.175,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Nets18c1,017$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0613638.2%52 W · 84 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Nets18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Nets6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9916928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Nets17c999.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Nets18c958.7$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5745743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Nets18c799.9$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.9836434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b58…7273backed Nets21c779.29$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.651650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Nets10c730.13$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7319419.1%37 W · 157 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked Nets17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10230826.6%82 W · 226 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Nets2c599.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.215316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Nets15c579.09$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7493036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Nets4c564$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.761,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…510dbacked Nets17c560$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.26651.5%34 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84db…b24ebacked Nets18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016129.8%48 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked Nets5c506.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1222939.7%91 W · 138 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Nets19c500.06$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6746131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nets8c472.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.591,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe06c…62aebacked Celtics80c450$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908153.1%43 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff7b…52a8backed Nets11c429.21$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56747.8%32 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd88…1ca6backed Nets8c422.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8319451.5%100 W · 94 L-17.8wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-17.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef94…d101backed Nets20c342.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.591163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nets12c333.96$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c5…fe56backed Nets17c320$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Celtics80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6050453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f32…3e2cbacked Nets4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1114041.4%58 W · 82 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Nets17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Nets18c280$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.495848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a44…e4e8backed Nets19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010449%51 W · 53 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Nets4c252.04$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x638e…9bd1backed Celtics80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503060%18 W · 12 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b9…7726backed Nets16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013138.9%51 W · 80 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Nets18c250$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd4c…f028backed Nets20c249.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8640%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47f9…af6ebacked Nets7c205.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.615318.9%10 W · 43 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+80.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Nets6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118947.2%42 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Nets15c200$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3539843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb433…3ad5backed Nets13c195.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.44431.8%14 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd8…5ddcbacked Nets18c166.86$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308045%36 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Nets19c162.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.1722733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Nets8c160.65$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.851,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefaf…26a1backed Nets13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019535.4%69 W · 126 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3585…1595backed Nets18c150$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2726041.2%107 W · 153 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x898b…8d76backed Nets15c134.81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017943.6%78 W · 101 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…8c56backed Nets18c132.23$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.84632.6%15 W · 31 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Nets17c119.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.433746.3%156 W · 181 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Nets18c115.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7435050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.