NFL · resolved market
Chiefs vs. Steelers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xada51bc42a264394ace58997a347b60351622d555a6c2a86ded3a78615e388ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiefsof Chiefs, Steelers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,186,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,631,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,186,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,014 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Steelers | 42c | 266,701$111,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,917.84 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94dc…c779backed Chiefs | 58c | 205,839$118,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,215.12 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Steelers | 22c | 155,380$34,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,869.41 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…6af8backed Chiefs | 75c | 123,036$92,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,289.62 | 125 | 70.4%88 W · 37 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Steelers | 42c | 98,465$41,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,639.84 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Chiefs | 75c | 75,001$56,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,851.19 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…59e8backed Steelers | 44c | 65,263$28,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,715.71 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Steelers | 45c | 63,462$28,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,396 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Chiefs | 67c | 61,528$41,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,342.78 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Chiefs | 56c | 54,211$30,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,811.91 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Steelers | 17c | 46,598$8,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,148.52 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Steelers | 39c | 44,903$17,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,520.28 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Steelers | 2c | 43,844$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.14 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d9…2d2ebacked Steelers | 17c | 33,927$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Steelers | 4c | 30,000$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…cc3abacked Chiefs | 59c | 24,000$14,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,860.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Steelers | 33c | 22,159$7,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.55 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Steelers | 8c | 21,534$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,620.01 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Steelers | 26c | 20,302$5,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,291.83 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…53a6backed Steelers | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Steelers | 28c | 19,320$5,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,388.3 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6b…1262backed Steelers | 44c | 18,182$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chiefs | 58c | 16,150$9,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,784.36 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Chiefs | 57c | 13,000$7,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,610 | 176 | 9.1%16 W · 160 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Chiefs | 60c | 12,737$7,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152.93 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Steelers | 33c | 12,613$4,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,103.08 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -7.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Chiefs | 58c | 12,000$6,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.87 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…78ddbacked Steelers | 43c | 11,488$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.86 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Steelers | 43c | 11,243$4,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,816.34 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | -12.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…824abacked Chiefs | 62c | 11,233$7,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,218.68 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Steelers | 18c | 11,135$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.74 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Steelers | 37c | 10,471$3,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,911.8 | 103 | 34%35 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…4374backed Steelers | 36c | 10,405$3,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,733.99 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Steelers | 42c | 10,295$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.88 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed Chiefs | 60c | 10,237$6,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.39 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Chiefs | 60c | 10,192$6,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,076.66 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Chiefs | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…16dbbacked Steelers | 41c | 9,964$4,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,089.66 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Steelers | 2c | 9,262$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.26 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Chiefs | 60c | 8,242$4,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,329.38 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Chiefs | 59c | 8,088$4,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.14 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Steelers | 41c | 8,075$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,310.75 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d9…ad02backed Chiefs | 58c | 7,282$4,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.29 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae24…07c2backed Chiefs | 59c | 7,000$4,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,898.9 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Chiefs | 56c | 6,000$3,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.53 | 285 | 56.5%161 W · 124 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Steelers | 9c | 5,729$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.73 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Chiefs | 71c | 5,600$3,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Steelers | 37c | 5,322$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.88 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Steelers | 25c | 5,274$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,293.46 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Steelers | 27c | 5,231$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Steelers | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,150 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Steelers | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Chiefs | 57c | 5,000$2,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,139.99 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Steelers | 18c | 4,922$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Chiefs | 58c | 4,864$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,063.8 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…a715backed Steelers | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chiefs | 58c | 4,559$2,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.92 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Steelers | 35c | 4,445$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.54 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Steelers | 33c | 4,428$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.79 | 63 | 38.1%24 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3f…f02abacked Chiefs | 56c | 4,263$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…304fbacked Chiefs | 80c | 4,017$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…2aa8backed Chiefs | 67c | 3,907$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.08 | 290 | 59.7%173 W · 117 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…8f06backed Steelers | 32c | 3,573$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.05 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed Chiefs | 58c | 3,503$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,466.12 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…e65fbacked Steelers | 2c | 3,444$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Steelers | 41c | 3,402$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,384.01 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Steelers | 17c | 3,386$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.53 | 76 | 27.6%21 W · 55 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4741…6cf0backed Steelers | 45c | 3,333$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Steelers | 43c | 3,270$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…59e2backed Steelers | 41c | 3,242$1,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.38 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41a1…75bcbacked Steelers | 33c | 3,240$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Steelers | 26c | 3,176$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Chiefs | 57c | 3,137$1,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.01 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…d18cbacked Steelers | 38c | 3,103$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.56 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.5wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb511…01dabacked Chiefs | 63c | 3,027$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.18 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f67…cc48backed Steelers | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…3c54backed Steelers | 18c | 2,786$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed Steelers | 32c | 2,732$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.3 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed Steelers | 19c | 2,624$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.87 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Steelers | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed Steelers | 25c | 2,416$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.53 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Steelers | 2c | 2,300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 114 | 7.9%9 W · 105 L | -10.2wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…3aedbacked Steelers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Chiefs | 56c | 2,191$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.07 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ca…d65ebacked Chiefs | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Chiefs | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…2657backed Steelers | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Steelers | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cb…3accbacked Chiefs | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…c870backed Chiefs | 58c | 1,931$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.46 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Chiefs | 79c | 1,891$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.93 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9e…7928backed Chiefs | 59c | 1,877$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900d…2961backed Chiefs | 60c | 1,869$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.6 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…cf42backed Steelers | 42c | 1,798$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcabf…c2d7backed Chiefs | 59c | 1,797$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6084…79c6backed Chiefs | 62c | 1,717$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.49 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Steelers | 24c | 1,703$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Chiefs | 69c | 1,703$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.82 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Chiefs | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Steelers | 21c | 1,613$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.62 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.