TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Hawks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$458,478
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$500,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $458,478 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Pacers66c47,800$31,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,342.3647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Hawks28c18,156$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.9334532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks30c16,557$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.6865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Pacers78c14,864$11,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,265.5612663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Hawks27c14,772$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.714233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Hawks25c12,636$3,183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,182.654443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6410…1ff4backed Hawks38c12,277$4,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,639.8511164%71 W · 40 L+13.0wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers78c12,038$9,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,593.8336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd569…ff3bbacked Hawks3c10,815$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804928.6%14 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-16.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3635…e4cfbacked Pacers74c9,994$7,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,598.41580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Pacers79c9,890$7,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.9615551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bdb…8eb1backed Hawks26c9,885$2,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,569.9940%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Hawks35c9,112$3,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,209.0136843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x906b…fd3cbacked Hawks14c8,722$1,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,206.647450%37 W · 37 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks24c7,550$1,838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,837.991,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Pacers79c5,723$4,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,206.2225865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Pacers62c5,157$3,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Hawks0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Hawks25c4,168$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.999330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed Pacers79c4,051$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.769572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks32c3,942$1,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,273.891,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks26c3,608$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.871,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c1…a4ccbacked Pacers74c3,229$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.395561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Hawks27c3,000$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81040627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Pacers70c2,829$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.1529652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2331…408cbacked Hawks2c2,252$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.829736.1%35 W · 62 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Pacers66c2,240$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.0770147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks6c2,130$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.771,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers77c2,067$1,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.788053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Hawks1c1,750$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Hawks21c1,520$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7610131.7%32 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Pacers74c1,515$1,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.1517047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Hawks14c1,511$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9714040%56 W · 84 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3ad6…a93cbacked Hawks36c1,474$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.421513.3%2 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.27per pick40cpaid-76.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5c16…df3abacked Hawks22c1,443$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.332035%7 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pacers77c1,396$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.0857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hawks29c1,289$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.995,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc277…9d94backed Hawks23c1,250$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Hawks26c1,230$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.7911019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Hawks26c1,174$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027631.2%86 W · 190 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c7…995dbacked Pacers76c1,132$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.89560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9e…7bd8backed Pacers77c1,121$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.883135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2863…0e3ebacked Hawks1c1,099$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9915741.4%65 W · 92 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Hawks45c1,083$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.056750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Pacers78c1,081$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.383748.6%18 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Hawks24c1,076$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.2430440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5632…748dbacked Hawks2c1,060$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.45628.6%16 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-40%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69a7…ef6bbacked Pacers76c1,050$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2522152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hawks21c1,001$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.451,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80eb…5bfcbacked Pacers75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505267.3%35 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Hawks23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Hawks23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23051037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x279e…3f3abacked Hawks26c999.62$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.9633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pacers75c996.59$746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.1473051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Pacers74c995.52$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.8433945.1%153 W · 186 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf65…45d7backed Hawks40c933.66$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3776233.9%21 W · 41 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Hawks20c868.93$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1759334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks22c858$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.6577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6109…8a3ebacked Hawks34c832.01$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.923444.1%15 W · 19 L+5.9wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers57c817.94$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.833,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bf…7300backed Hawks32c810.88$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.918540%34 W · 51 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+52%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8885…1674backed Pacers74c801.41$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Hawks2c801$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.335502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Pacers80c782.45$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.445366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Pacers78c776.65$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.8624855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498f…7b7fbacked Hawks34c708.98$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.595545.5%25 W · 30 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+20%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Hawks25c705.97$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.4961851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Hawks22c681.82$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15016532.1%53 W · 112 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbfc…0655backed Pacers68c605.65$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.163167.7%21 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+41.7%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Hawks36c605.42$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.1419033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad1…a60ebacked Hawks19c595.24$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1122218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-49.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Pacers68c584$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.970951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Hawks13c582.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.5319231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d33…ffdbbacked Pacers75c548$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1371758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Pacers66c539.99$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.62748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x037e…e009backed Pacers67c537.34$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.583663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd5e2…dfd6backed Hawks35c536.64$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.58366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Hawks30c520.56$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6547229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Hawks22c511.54$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.946051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Hawks31c505$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.7385542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca71…6864backed Pacers79c500.54$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.542462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Pacers80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012657.1%72 W · 54 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac56…5b67backed Hawks15c500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758252.4%43 W · 39 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Hawks9c499.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1423835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa62e…dd41backed Hawks38c496.3$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.941526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3dde…6b67backed Pacers77c490$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.12272.7%16 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick74cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4dd…3c12backed Pacers76c474.44$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.427140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb68…06b9backed Hawks22c455.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.34337.2%16 W · 27 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dff…f3aebacked Pacers75c452.14$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.041241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Hawks36c444.44$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2800…2081backed Pacers79c427.25$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.723951.3%20 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pacers79c420.82$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8214563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Hawks24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Hawks35c416.21$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2114034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf645…b8c2backed Hawks22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887929.1%23 W · 56 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf8…f5bbbacked Pacers60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde32…700cbacked Hawks22c400$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Pacers58c399.98$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.999534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Hawks21c399.98$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8435046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc52…a021backed Hawks10c378.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8411934.5%41 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.