TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Nuggets vs. Jazz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuggetsof Nuggets, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$311,695
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$327,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $311,695 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2317…c891backed Jazz17c60,398$10,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,270.8111842.4%50 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Jazz0c57,262$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets80c10,000$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00029858.7%175 W · 123 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Jazz16c8,651$1,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.441,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz29c8,242$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.751,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Jazz23c5,466$1,283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,282.7761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Jazz12c2,893$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.981,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Jazz21c2,495$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.7717141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf024…8417backed Jazz29c2,280$661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Jazz28c2,256$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.8119350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5865…fbc6backed Nuggets72c2,050$1,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Jazz1c2,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.81,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Jazz28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.9837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x877b…83f1backed Nuggets77c1,940$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.822157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca7c…b199backed Jazz13c1,754$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.8680%0 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Jazz36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54030351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Jazz35c1,418$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.091,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdc…1e04backed Jazz27c1,245$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Nuggets68c1,176$805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.8225957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b7…9a3cbacked Jazz10c1,137$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.42714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-58%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Jazz3c1,115$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.411,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Jazz23c1,049$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7219231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0baf…e09ebacked Nuggets75c1,012$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.081361.5%8 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick75cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1024423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Nuggets73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27028063.9%179 W · 101 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets73c1,000$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27589353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets73c1,000$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Jazz1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Jazz2c995.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.045502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x177c…bf64backed Nuggets73c967$706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.092475%18 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3e…b656backed Nuggets72c945.83$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.835269.2%36 W · 16 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+30.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nuggets74c938.18$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.641,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Jazz29c910.34$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2643627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Jazz33c904.66$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Jazz27c899.86$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4eb4…bc50backed Nuggets71c839.94$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.581050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed Jazz28c837.96$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.631637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60fa…b0dbbacked Nuggets75c831.55$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Nuggets73c823.93$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.9315763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x511e…c7b5backed Jazz24c790.29$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0715…b17bbacked Nuggets76c790.29$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7940…5c00backed Jazz28c750$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e12…141ebacked Jazz23c642.31$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14710921.1%23 W · 86 L-10.5wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-44.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Jazz27c614.92$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16465642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9380…386ebacked Nuggets75c610.28$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd538…ec75backed Nuggets74c607.68$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Nuggets69c601.39$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.393467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef2…d0dabacked Jazz21c535.01$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11011019.1%21 W · 89 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf01…02bcbacked Jazz25c532.27$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.07520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25b8…79eabacked Nuggets75c532.27$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.07366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfc2…9d4fbacked Nuggets72c518.53$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.193669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Jazz28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14029148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked Jazz18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9016919.5%33 W · 136 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Jazz28c499.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14075347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edd…f21ebacked Jazz24c499.93$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.984835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Jazz20c493.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e47…a9a9backed Nuggets72c479.25$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1934852.3%182 W · 166 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Nuggets65c455.47$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.4116553.9%89 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x02c0…05b5backed Jazz3c433.73$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3add…11b5backed Jazz22c405.86$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.292334.8%8 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08a8…adcebacked Jazz25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016341.1%67 W · 96 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Jazz28c395.97$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.872,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Nuggets72c360$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.86752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Nuggets64c349.99$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12535165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc94b…fd9bbacked Jazz29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010730.8%33 W · 74 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec0…a0eabacked Nuggets73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.472975.9%22 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick69cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Nuggets71c325$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2525651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Jazz27c310.36$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Nuggets65c300$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1065468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Nuggets72c300$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8435046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9348…e619backed Nuggets73c286.3$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33b1…6b93backed Jazz29c286.24$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…4ae4backed Nuggets68c276.51$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.16435.9%23 W · 41 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed5…a76ebacked Nuggets73c273.97$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9715558.7%91 W · 64 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71c3…61ebbacked Nuggets72c273.24$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.242060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb4…d00fbacked Nuggets75c272$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6810151.5%52 W · 49 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Nuggets74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2716440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Jazz29c263.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.648137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd86b…edc1backed Nuggets77c258.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.734667.4%31 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Nuggets71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.531347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Jazz28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7047948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Jazz26c248.11$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8585347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Nuggets73c237.48$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.127860.3%47 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…7517backed Nuggets72c235$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe980…75e1backed Nuggets71c231.2$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.052646.2%12 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-25.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Nuggets72c227.37$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Jazz31c225.44$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3723835.7%85 W · 153 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Jazz27c224.07$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.523539.1%92 W · 143 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Nuggets64c218.75$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7538942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Nuggets71c211.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.164573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4790…2dd7backed Nuggets72c208.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6814150.4%71 W · 70 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Jazz28c204.25$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…d120backed Nuggets73c201.18$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.68580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Nuggets72c200$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5729355.3%162 W · 131 L+1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8fa9…39a1backed Jazz24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4848741.9%204 W · 283 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Nuggets67c200$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5de…8ed4backed Jazz30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Jazz28c191.36$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5365726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e09…1c3fbacked Nuggets72c189.87$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1611662.9%73 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Jazz27c183.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.