TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x71c3…61eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2025, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$227.76
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Bucks vs. Magicbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST+55.6%+$144.03
Spurs vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+49.3%+$73.88
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST+35.7%+$53.62
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$145
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+46.9%+$5.74
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$74.16
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Suns vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+40.8%+$30.63
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Cavaliers vs. Mavericksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+38.9%+$75.32
Nets vs. Bucksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$12.25
Celtics vs. Timberwolvesbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$52.5
Nuggets vs. Jazzbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+38.7%+$76.24
Kings vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2024, EST+44.9%+$15.81
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$50
All 20 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,793Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+78%+$2,177.58
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,583Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+179.6%+$8,231.39
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$6,005Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.8%+$2,030.84
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$333.25
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$769Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+31.6%+$242.83
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+26.6%+$347.09
Will Solana reach $270 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$663Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$187.1
Will Solana reach $250 in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$997Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$996.96
Will Ethereum reach $5400 in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,735Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+37%+$1,012.24
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$5,940.3
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,586Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,585.52
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,998.33
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$302.32
Ethereum all time high by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$680Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$320
All 14 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Red Wingsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Canadiens vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$39
Islanders vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$229.92
Avalanche vs. Blackhawksbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$39.99
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+42.9%+$63.9
Devils vs. Krakenbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+36.1%+$115.39
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Sabres vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$134.75
Flyers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51
Blues vs. Blackhawksbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Canadiens vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST-100%-$41.4
Bruins vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+33.3%+$9.23
Flames vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+53.8%+$70
All 13 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$330
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+45.4%+$146.15
Lions vs. 49ersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2024, EST+60.5%+$99.02
Falcons vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2024, EST+66.7%+$50
Broncos vs. Bengalsbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$68
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST+38.9%+$147.03
Seahawks vs. Bearsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Ravens vs. Texansbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
Chiefs vs. Steelersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2024, EST+69.5%+$52.12
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST+53.8%+$26.92
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2024, EST+51.5%+$18.67
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2025, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-70.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ohio State vs. Texasbacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+46.1%+$118.74
Notre Dame vs. Penn Statebacked Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Tennessee vs. Ohio Statebacked Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$20
Clemson vs. Texasbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
SMU vs. Penn Statebacked SMU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+93%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid+46.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15-18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST-100%-$20.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2024, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2024, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.