College Football · resolved market
Notre Dame vs. Penn State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e497eadb192f90c118d295bc83f865c5844700d11879aa9a099226a7327d4fb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Notre Dameof Notre Dame, Penn State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,164,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,190,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,164,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 586 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Notre Dame | 72c | 266,807$190,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,985.19 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Penn State | 49c | 102,001$49,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,609.81 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Penn State | 13c | 91,166$11,562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,562.35 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Notre Dame | 48c | 71,569$34,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,278.17 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Penn State | 50c | 63,620$31,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,810 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Penn State | 49c | 36,010$17,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,552.62 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Penn State | 26c | 24,991$6,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,441 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Notre Dame | 50c | 22,533$11,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,216 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Penn State | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Notre Dame | 57c | 19,617$11,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,412.52 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Notre Dame | 52c | 19,195$9,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,213.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Penn State | 48c | 17,263$8,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,293.72 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.32per pick | 38cpaid | -87.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked Notre Dame | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Penn State | 0c | 12,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Notre Dame | 65c | 10,728$7,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.81 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…c487backed Penn State | 52c | 10,416$5,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,416.31 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Notre Dame | 58c | 10,357$6,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Penn State | 80c | 10,211$8,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,161.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Penn State | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.97 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Penn State | 50c | 8,630$4,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,314.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Notre Dame | 51c | 8,627$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +127.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Notre Dame | 51c | 7,474$3,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.18 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Notre Dame | 70c | 7,236$5,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.15 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Notre Dame | 51c | 6,373$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,123.43 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Penn State | 25c | 5,000$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Penn State | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Notre Dame | 55c | 4,860$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,210.24 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Notre Dame | 49c | 4,834$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeca…9826backed Notre Dame | 29c | 4,745$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,375.46 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Notre Dame | 51c | 4,700$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Penn State | 47c | 4,197$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,972.21 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89cd…f03bbacked Notre Dame | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Notre Dame | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…e79fbacked Penn State | 61c | 3,692$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240.12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Notre Dame | 55c | 3,558$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,590.4 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Notre Dame | 26c | 3,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Notre Dame | 51c | 3,479$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,690.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Notre Dame | 51c | 3,200$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,558 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Notre Dame | 22c | 3,149$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.86 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Notre Dame | 50c | 3,022$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,510.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Notre Dame | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Penn State | 50c | 2,952$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.09 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc9…fc51backed Notre Dame | 64c | 2,794$1,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.29per pick | 52cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Notre Dame | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Notre Dame | 49c | 2,419$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…4414backed Penn State | 50c | 2,282$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Penn State | 53c | 2,212$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.07 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed5…a76ebacked Notre Dame | 55c | 2,187$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Notre Dame | 44c | 2,131$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.78 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Notre Dame | 52c | 2,116$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.59 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Notre Dame | 53c | 2,106$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.16 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Notre Dame | 50c | 2,078$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.18 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Notre Dame | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…ff35backed Penn State | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Notre Dame | 42c | 2,000$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Penn State | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Penn State | 65c | 1,953$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.97 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa928…9575backed Notre Dame | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Notre Dame | 61c | 1,773$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Notre Dame | 50c | 1,721$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Notre Dame | 58c | 1,691$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Notre Dame | 48c | 1,675$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.91 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Penn State | 2c | 1,665$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 81 | 4.9%4 W · 77 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Notre Dame | 62c | 1,633$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.09 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Notre Dame | 53c | 1,613$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.65 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f53…07f4backed Penn State | 50c | 1,598$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Penn State | 3c | 1,550$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 237 | 0.8%2 W · 235 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -98.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Notre Dame | 58c | 1,550$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Penn State | 67c | 1,545$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.47 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Penn State | 47c | 1,500$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.23 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Penn State | 47c | 1,463$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.5 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21bd…ae93backed Penn State | 59c | 1,459$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Penn State | 49c | 1,350$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.59 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…c5b2backed Notre Dame | 25c | 1,320$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Penn State | 47c | 1,304$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Notre Dame | 39c | 1,289$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.83 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Penn State | 51c | 1,184$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.81 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…06c3backed Notre Dame | 26c | 1,163$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +287.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Notre Dame | 40c | 1,108$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.8 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Notre Dame | 52c | 1,105$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.49 | 80 | 78.8%63 W · 17 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked Notre Dame | 51c | 1,080$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Penn State | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Penn State | 49c | 1,005$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.96 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Penn State | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 3.1%1 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Penn State | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Notre Dame | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Notre Dame | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Notre Dame | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Penn State | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Penn State | 50c | 970$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Notre Dame | 52c | 953.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.25 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb670…7fa6backed Notre Dame | 54c | 905.91$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1564…5aa6backed Penn State | 46c | 905$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9c…d01bbacked Notre Dame | 51c | 884.46$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…e82dbacked Penn State | 52c | 877.58$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Notre Dame | 56c | 850$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…77d0backed Notre Dame | 31c | 828.67$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +225.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8507…8a79backed Notre Dame | 21c | 811.05$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Notre Dame | 49c | 757.14$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Notre Dame | 68c | 752.07$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 61 | 70.5%43 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.