NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66d018f401b48b50fd3a7ec434ab8fe513dd531fb9dfb4fc686306a953aa569e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $98,246
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 4c | 16,500$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2723…3b7bbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 10,047$6,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,229.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2325…3c2bbacked Islanders | 38c | 10,047$3,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,229.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc523…0db2backed Islanders | 37c | 10,043$3,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,327.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe52…4ae7backed Golden Knights | 63c | 10,037$6,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,323.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Golden Knights | 11c | 4,347$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.92 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ec…2271backed Golden Knights | 63c | 3,243$2,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,043.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Golden Knights | 64c | 3,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Golden Knights | 6c | 3,000$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Islanders | 36c | 2,930$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.33 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Islanders | 38c | 2,729$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.53 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Golden Knights | 8c | 2,303$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.06 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 37c | 2,181$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.9 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Islanders | 50c | 1,961$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.17 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,500$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.98 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Islanders | 38c | 1,495$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.21 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Islanders | 43c | 1,029$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Golden Knights | 63c | 999.99$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Golden Knights | 10c | 939.22$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.49 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…9a8dbacked Islanders | 38c | 884.12$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Golden Knights | 62c | 883.9$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.02 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Islanders | 37c | 842.44$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.72 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Islanders | 63c | 824.01$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.8 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e9…7cd8backed Golden Knights | 55c | 819.53$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Golden Knights | 24c | 772.98$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 736.57$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 249 | 45.8%114 W · 135 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Islanders | 67c | 702.79$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.18 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0964…d727backed Golden Knights | 61c | 702.5$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Islanders | 37c | 699.97$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.99 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Islanders | 37c | 652.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.06 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…9780backed Islanders | 78c | 641.96$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Islanders | 37c | 639.53$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.37 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Golden Knights | 63c | 632.56$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.4 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc069…80ebbacked Islanders | 38c | 458.57$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Islanders | 37c | 414.13$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.9 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights | 45c | 399.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Golden Knights | 63c | 396.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9937…6202backed Golden Knights | 63c | 395.28$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Islanders | 75c | 393.46$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.44 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 370.84$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 42c | 357.32$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.63 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Golden Knights | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0b…f974backed Golden Knights | 64c | 310.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e0…3eabbacked Islanders | 29c | 287.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Golden Knights | 66c | 284.13$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Islanders | 39c | 237.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.17 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Golden Knights | 46c | 219.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 205 | 40.5%83 W · 122 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…9829backed Islanders | 38c | 217.02$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Golden Knights | 46c | 216.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6f…b346backed Golden Knights | 64c | 212.66$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Islanders | 38c | 205$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.1 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2400…f2b7backed Golden Knights | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64cc…ad9dbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 200$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…75f2backed Golden Knights | 63c | 198.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba8…0db7backed Islanders | 38c | 192.11$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.11 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +129%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Islanders | 37c | 190.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 60c | 183$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Islanders | 37c | 170.75$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Golden Knights | 15c | 165$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Golden Knights | 55c | 160.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.22 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…8643backed Golden Knights | 63c | 158.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Golden Knights | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf19…976bbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked Islanders | 55c | 151.55$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6909…36b5backed Golden Knights | 62c | 150$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Golden Knights | 62c | 144.65$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 96 | 65.6%63 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…bb3dbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 143.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.18 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Islanders | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 113.47$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.42 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -16.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…ec05backed Golden Knights | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Islanders | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Islanders | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Golden Knights | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Golden Knights | 61c | 99.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Golden Knights | 64c | 94.4$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Golden Knights | 63c | 92.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe89d…b80ebacked Golden Knights | 62c | 85.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Golden Knights | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3f…c91ebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Golden Knights | 61c | 74.42$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.64 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…c0cdbacked Golden Knights | 19c | 66.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe514…2c62backed Islanders | 53c | 66.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +150%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41c6…77d0backed Golden Knights | 48c | 62.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 35c | 60$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…f1e8backed Islanders | 39c | 53.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +108.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe3…5a21backed Golden Knights | 62c | 53.55$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Islanders | 36c | 49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860b…a80fbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 47.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…2a3abacked Golden Knights | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a15…eac3backed Golden Knights | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…5c1bbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb69…69d6backed Golden Knights | 63c | 44.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Islanders | 39c | 43.63$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…85d8backed Golden Knights | 62c | 42.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.