TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc069…80eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NHL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 60 out of 100; worst NFL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2025, EST3125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shaq's OGs vs. Candace's Rising Starsbacked Candace's Rising Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2025, EST-100%-$37.27
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Clippers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$538Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2025, EST-100%-$537.56
Suns vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$187.02
Raptors vs. Pistonsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$99.85
Jazz vs. Sunsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$26.16
Hawks vs. Sunsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$78.2
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2025, EST-100%-$77.34
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$32.67
Pistons vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2025, EST-100%-$50.3
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65.95
Bulls vs. Pacersbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$65.48
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+347.5%+$83.08
Hawks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$61.79
Timberwolves vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$109.2
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+175.9%+$95.38
Lakers vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+219.6%+$135.92
Rockets vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$11.72
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$65.49
Clippers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$45.55
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$43.8
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+132.6%+$60.89
Pacers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST-100%-$18.55
Suns vs. 76ersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+143.9%+$149.4
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+104.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.55
Vikings vs. Lionsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.66
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$48.04
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$19.82
Texans vs. Titansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+108.3%+$25.52
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18.1
All 6 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 16, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$31.6
Will Ipswich win on 2025-01-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.53
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.