TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Red Wings vs. Panthers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Red Wingsof Red Wings, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$35,016
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,929

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,016 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4a64…4430backed Panthers17c3,195$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.1531334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Panthers70c3,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.961435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.26per pick61cpaid-45%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Panthers70c1,586$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.077648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Panthers13c1,580$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Panthers12c1,500$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1781,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Red Wings30c1,455$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.5520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-33.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Panthers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Red Wings31c801.72$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.1929847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Red Wings28c801.37$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.0635545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a7…f445backed Red Wings34c776.52$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.931233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Panthers66c651.73$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.561,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Panthers66c558.18$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.475155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Panthers60c506.47$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Panthers71c500$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3551,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Red Wings33c487.2$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.422343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+52.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Panthers4c464$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.487450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Red Wings54c406.66$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1862657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc069…80ebbacked Red Wings30c383.72$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.61875%6 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+104.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf22d…e35dbacked Panthers68c239.94$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.161844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-31.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Red Wings28c230.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.71,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaba…819cbacked Red Wings34c226.5$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+142.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf22a…1697backed Red Wings29c199.97$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.589251.1%47 W · 45 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd91…661cbacked Panthers71c197.19$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec9…1795backed Panthers71c190.14$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135520%1 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick65cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x32a2…0033backed Panthers71c190.14$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13540%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x732d…0619backed Panthers71c188.73$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x839a…0e05backed Panthers72c183.33$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13230%0 W · 3 L-2.1wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa548…18edbacked Panthers71c183.1$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ac8…989dbacked Panthers72c180.91$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee43…1537backed Panthers72c180.56$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Red Wings31c177.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.0972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfaca…f35abacked Panthers72c176.39$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a6…ebbfbacked Panthers72c175$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12640%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Red Wings31c161.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2918136.5%66 W · 115 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Red Wings30c152.74$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.9241851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c8c…668fbacked Red Wings30c143.5$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.45728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd146…40c1backed Panthers71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbb24…a17bbacked Red Wings77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872373.9%17 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7d7a…15b5backed Panthers16c123.53$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Red Wings32c120.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7184051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cad…4a69backed Red Wings48c106.66$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.67955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8175…e4b8backed Red Wings34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe06…f2adbacked Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x352a…a17ebacked Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6833…b998backed Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc7…43efbacked Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5324…51bdbacked Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd889…f1c2backed Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7849…ecfdbacked Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b03…0dd9backed Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Red Wings30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…e34bbacked Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a7c…9c0ebacked Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0621…6036backed Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf54e…d554backed Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd6b…1b80backed Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x079f…9e51backed Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05fe…68cabacked Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ad9…f7c8backed Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aaa…5baabacked Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7974…0fdbbacked Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc37…4522backed Panthers68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb968…3744backed Red Wings33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Red Wings29c99.98$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9981846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf734…c613backed Red Wings30c91.8$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.263729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Panthers20c90.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.851643.8%7 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Red Wings30c85.64$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6462944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Red Wings30c83$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.158346.5%271 W · 312 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d63…8302backed Panthers68c79.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Red Wings33c75.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7628542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb40e…d6a2backed Panthers72c74.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.99540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-35.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2536…6829backed Panthers68c73.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b8e…1bf4backed Panthers68c67.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x68b5…cf52backed Panthers72c67.56$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.64560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6295…fcecbacked Red Wings34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6888…fe47backed Red Wings34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+52.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x148b…5a6dbacked Red Wings34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e3…310ebacked Red Wings34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.82837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb89…62d0backed Red Wings32c58.78$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.97887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.35per pick52cpaid+86.1%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x020b…44a8backed Red Wings34c54.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.995100%5 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+149.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Red Wings30c54.02$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.8147249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f6…b703backed Red Wings77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.52839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc224…cd43backed Panthers67c44.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3019057.9%110 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x469d…8daebacked Red Wings34c44.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.12540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Panthers67c43.32$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0219150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ba6…b46cbacked Red Wings34c35.8$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.62666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf28…4110backed Red Wings33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dbb…7ba8backed Red Wings33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ca2…b1ecbacked Red Wings33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+67.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a58…8a00backed Panthers68c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ccd…925ebacked Panthers68c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd9…d9a7backed Red Wings33c33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+56.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f7…a928backed Panthers68c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4430%0 W · 3 L-2.0wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9251…8b2dbacked Panthers68c33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4430%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6e8…547ebacked Red Wings34c31.93$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.07757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b79…e687backed Panthers66c31.93$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.07520%1 W · 4 L-2.3wins-0.46per pick66cpaid-73.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc48c…b2b2backed Panthers71c31.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.47757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Red Wings32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7155…c152backed Red Wings33c31.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.93450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x020c…6a33backed Panthers69c30.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.