NBA · resolved market
Heat vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dc2d260b872119970d3644d3c95d088f51d7ec804d4501fe48da9974736d73f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Heat, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,199,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,222,447
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,199,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Heat | 2c | 100,928$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.43 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6410…1ff4backed Kings | 64c | 69,380$44,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,034.74 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +13.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked Kings | 60c | 36,603$22,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,575.67 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +9.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Heat | 46c | 27,090$12,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,527.45 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Heat | 45c | 20,577$9,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,296.23 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Heat | 42c | 16,962$7,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,100.43 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6153…0e04backed Kings | 50c | 16,788$8,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,377.85 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Kings | 73c | 16,415$12,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.96 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed Kings | 59c | 16,235$9,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,623.97 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -15.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Heat | 54c | 16,074$8,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,689.78 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Kings | 60c | 14,418$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.75 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Kings | 67c | 14,226$9,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,694.84 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8625…90afbacked Heat | 69c | 13,687$9,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,415.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Kings | 67c | 12,966$8,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,246.51 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Heat | 37c | 12,517$4,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.04 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Heat | 42c | 12,182$5,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,143.23 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x872d…d08cbacked Kings | 63c | 12,176$7,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,514.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Heat | 63c | 11,753$7,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,429.68 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Kings | 32c | 10,587$3,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,211.18 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Heat | 73c | 10,539$7,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,709.18 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9483…39b2backed Kings | 56c | 10,438$5,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,607.38 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236a…9a00backed Heat | 41c | 9,349$3,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Heat | 40c | 8,049$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,211.91 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Heat | 41c | 7,727$3,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,168.18 | 155 | 51%79 W · 76 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Heat | 42c | 7,623$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,214.14 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Kings | 39c | 7,322$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,437.96 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Kings | 61c | 6,500$3,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,535 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Heat | 61c | 6,500$3,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,959.98 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kings | 16c | 6,086$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,086.13 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…1698backed Heat | 41c | 6,026$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.89 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | +10.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Kings | 61c | 5,945$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.77 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Heat | 41c | 5,759$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.09 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Heat | 39c | 5,111$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.14 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Heat | 47c | 5,067$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.65 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Heat | 41c | 5,032$2,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,069 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Kings | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…a01abacked Heat | 38c | 4,966$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.08 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Kings | 23c | 4,906$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,791.87 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d16…029ebacked Kings | 34c | 4,468$1,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,949.02 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd065…93e8backed Heat | 54c | 4,270$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.52 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…2f5fbacked Kings | 16c | 4,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Heat | 41c | 4,000$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.98 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Kings | 59c | 3,673$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.99 | 256 | 51.6%132 W · 124 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e79…56dcbacked Heat | 40c | 3,485$1,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.98 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Kings | 61c | 3,288$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.52 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Kings | 61c | 3,200$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248 | 379 | 54.1%205 W · 174 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Kings | 14c | 3,197$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.76 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb8…e817backed Heat | 41c | 2,879$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Heat | 42c | 2,615$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.8 | 368 | 43.8%161 W · 207 L | -17.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…5aabbacked Kings | 65c | 2,594$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.93 | 173 | 63.6%110 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Heat | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Heat | 48c | 2,429$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.95 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…6cd3backed Kings | 69c | 2,403$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…1f1ebacked Kings | 57c | 2,086$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.31 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Heat | 39c | 2,077$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.87 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…7db5backed Heat | 43c | 2,045$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.4 | 309 | 54%167 W · 142 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e30…ef89backed Kings | 44c | 2,033$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.33 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b7…bde1backed Heat | 62c | 2,024$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.32 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Heat | 49c | 2,006$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.14 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…feb3backed Heat | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Kings | 31c | 1,996$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.09 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf9…1289backed Heat | 60c | 1,981$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.97 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Kings | 63c | 1,929$1,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.91 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Kings | 35c | 1,890$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,226.03 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Kings | 61c | 1,890$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.84 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Heat | 35c | 1,730$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.82 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Kings | 50c | 1,723$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.97 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Kings | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c27…c8b4backed Kings | 48c | 1,590$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.53 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Kings | 59c | 1,535$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.21 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c3…61ebbacked Heat | 5c | 1,500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.16 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b02…e4e8backed Heat | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Kings | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4205…46a7backed Kings | 63c | 1,469$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.47 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Kings | 46c | 1,440$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.58 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…74f3backed Kings | 66c | 1,427$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.74 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…15e2backed Kings | 37c | 1,414$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.95 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 41c | 1,397$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.07 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Heat | 50c | 1,354$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.98 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…2529backed Heat | 41c | 1,350$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.76 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Kings | 64c | 1,250$805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2317…c891backed Kings | 67c | 1,212$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.96 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Heat | 42c | 1,200$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.8 | 296 | 35.8%106 W · 190 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Kings | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cc…a553backed Kings | 59c | 1,171$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Heat | 11c | 1,134$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.21 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…e936backed Kings | 41c | 1,121$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.61 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Kings | 47c | 1,102$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.45 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 65c | 1,100$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.24 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Heat | 46c | 1,092$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.32 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Kings | 58c | 1,082$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.85 | 853 | 47.9%409 W · 444 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558e…9d39backed Kings | 63c | 1,075$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.55 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…9a4bbacked Heat | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ceb…0c87backed Heat | 39c | 1,025$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.89 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kings | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…94d9backed Heat | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Kings | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Heat | 56c | 993.79$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.24 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…c3d6backed Heat | 44c | 992.68$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…6465backed Kings | 56c | 987.68$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.58 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.