TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2065…48f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2025, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$235.2
Spurs vs. Nuggetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT+150%+$300
Hawks vs. Mavericksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$171.6
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$343.58
Trail Blazers vs. Knicksbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$387Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$386.9
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$428.96
Heat vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$432Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$432.14
Heat vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$900Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+66.7%+$600
Mavericks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$490
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$257Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$257.4
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+88.7%+$443.21
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+37%+$323.99
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2025, EST+75.4%+$225.35
Hornets vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+40.8%+$290
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2024, EST-100%-$400.03
Pistons vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$798Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST-100%-$798.47
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+177.8%+$384
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$37.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.53
Marlins vs. Raysbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$646Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$645.98
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$142
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+37%+$229.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$187
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Sep 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sevilla win on 2025-09-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$377
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.