MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a7df290e8084aa76a0418a6a27849ead68a6bae33ed6a5f5a0a5a95d208fe0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raysof Marlins, Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $346,808
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $376,614
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $346,808 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Rays | 61c | 177,486$107,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69,969.26 | 176 | 52.8%93 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Marlins | 39c | 40,000$15,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,600 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Marlins | 41c | 36,456$14,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,946.83 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 31c | 24,673$7,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,659.61 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Marlins | 39c | 23,838$9,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,296.91 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Marlins | 39c | 20,116$7,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,845.24 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Marlins | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Rays | 65c | 14,597$9,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,116.87 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Marlins | 38c | 13,381$5,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,058.2 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Marlins | 42c | 12,914$5,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,433.89 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 39c | 11,832$4,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,583.07 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Rays | 58c | 11,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,629.98 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Marlins | 39c | 9,684$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.5 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Marlins | 19c | 7,408$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Marlins | 31c | 6,950$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.53 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 14c | 6,093$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.65 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 32c | 4,955$1,583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,583.42 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Rays | 62c | 4,876$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.67 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 42c | 4,299$1,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,805.58 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef5…7e05backed Rays | 57c | 3,932$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Rays | 61c | 3,617$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.66 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Marlins | 42c | 3,460$1,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,453.2 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 10c | 3,232$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.5 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Marlins | 39c | 2,800$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Marlins | 36c | 2,716$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.83 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…d0e3backed Rays | 59c | 2,659$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090.11 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Marlins | 38c | 2,631$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…0bbcbacked Rays | 62c | 2,300$1,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 43c | 2,113$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.54 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Rays | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Rays | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…741dbacked Marlins | 38c | 1,977$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.26 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Rays | 69c | 1,875$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.07 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Marlins | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Rays | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa737…cc88backed Marlins | 38c | 1,600$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Marlins | 6c | 1,521$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Marlins | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ce…8160backed Marlins | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce37…b17bbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,480$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.81 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Marlins | 43c | 1,330$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.84 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rays | 59c | 1,297$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.6 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…8734backed Rays | 63c | 1,273$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.64 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Rays | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Rays | 62c | 1,129$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.03 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Marlins | 42c | 1,118$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.56 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Marlins | 3c | 1,100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Marlins | 31c | 1,001$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.92 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Rays | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rays | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Marlins | 2c | 993.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Rays | 62c | 895.79$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.62 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Rays | 58c | 860$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.2 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Marlins | 42c | 859.98$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 62c | 804.99$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f17…c521backed Rays | 62c | 750$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Marlins | 38c | 736.68$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcf…48e1backed Marlins | 31c | 715.1$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.01 | 156 | 42.9%67 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Rays | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Marlins | 7c | 685.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Rays | 58c | 673.73$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.23 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Rays | 57c | 589.74$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.59 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Marlins | 15c | 581.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 39c | 550$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 40c | 536.23$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.67 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Marlins | 18c | 509.89$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Marlins | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Rays | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Marlins | 10c | 499.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fd…af0dbacked Rays | 64c | 469.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.08 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Rays | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Marlins | 19c | 433$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Marlins | 15c | 410$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Rays | 62c | 403.07$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Rays | 69c | 383.71$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.71 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rays | 58c | 343.1$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Marlins | 15c | 341.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 40c | 339.49$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.11 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Rays | 64c | 312.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.44 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3b…f625backed Marlins | 16c | 310$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rays | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Rays | 57c | 282$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.26 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Marlins | 10c | 275.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f8e7backed Rays | 63c | 266.68$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.17 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rays | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Marlins | 34c | 242.64$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Marlins | 37c | 236.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Marlins | 42c | 218$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Marlins | 25c | 183.75$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…7667backed Marlins | 39c | 175.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Rays | 58c | 172.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Marlins | 34c | 172.18$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Marlins | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rays | 61c | 153.27$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.03 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd39…b24cbacked Rays | 57c | 148.42$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Rays | 63c | 135.15$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.84 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Marlins | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2569…9cb6backed Rays | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.