NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd377e3407fd119e4e6e786d70ea177fa75b8c882bbaafa89715d8593bcd2e564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Wingsof Maple Leafs, Red Wings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $457,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $480,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $457,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 55c | 88,905$49,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,618.23 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 40,000$17,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,699.99 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 38,867$17,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,490.2 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Maple Leafs | 61c | 34,353$20,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,820.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.95 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Wings | 55c | 14,645$8,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,590.09 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 13,067$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880.08 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Red Wings | 45c | 12,855$5,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,038.12 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 11,490$5,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.86 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 10,109$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.63 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Red Wings | 51c | 9,711$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,787.26 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 9,567$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.25 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Maple Leafs | 67c | 8,363$5,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,623.83 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…2bacbacked Red Wings | 45c | 8,085$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,435.01 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Red Wings | 54c | 6,649$3,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,058.63 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 6,611$3,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,041.11 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Red Wings | 55c | 6,502$3,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.82 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 6,239$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 5,485$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.4 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.55 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…080bbacked Red Wings | 55c | 5,378$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,420.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Red Wings | 53c | 5,000$2,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.6 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Red Wings | 42c | 4,648$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,677.85 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Red Wings | 54c | 4,533$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.25 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Red Wings | 54c | 4,533$2,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,085.18 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Red Wings | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,964.29 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Red Wings | 55c | 4,388$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.6 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 4,308$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.87 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.97 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 3,914$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44b9…0598backed Red Wings | 48c | 3,337$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.98 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Red Wings | 55c | 3,167$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.27 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 3,050$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.44 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ba…3061backed Red Wings | 32c | 3,019$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.9 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 3,000$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,671$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,214.73 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Red Wings | 55c | 2,478$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.18 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,406$1,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.83 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Maple Leafs | 3c | 2,286$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.58 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 2,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 2,147$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.05 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 2,137$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.93 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.15 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Red Wings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Red Wings | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 51c | 1,967$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.29 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…1fe3backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,905$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.45 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,870$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.2 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,846$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.87 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,820$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.35 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1340…6747backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,812$834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.57 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Maple Leafs | 3c | 1,800$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 37 | 5.4%2 W · 35 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Red Wings | 39c | 1,647$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.72 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,627$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.88 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Red Wings | 41c | 1,585$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.71 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Red Wings | 53c | 1,521$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.3 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Red Wings | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9139…fbc0backed Red Wings | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Red Wings | 54c | 1,500$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.8 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,499$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,494$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.17 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Red Wings | 54c | 1,484$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.46 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,455$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.55 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Red Wings | 55c | 1,442$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.9 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 1,417$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.4 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Red Wings | 52c | 1,416$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.62 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Red Wings | 56c | 1,319$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.62 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…2637backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 1,294$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,293$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.72 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6c…287fbacked Red Wings | 45c | 1,249$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Maple Leafs | 66c | 1,145$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.41 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Red Wings | 12c | 1,123$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.24 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 10cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb6…2abbbacked Maple Leafs | 4c | 1,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 107 | 6.5%7 W · 100 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…c3eabacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Maple Leafs | 55c | 1,018$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.11 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,012$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.43 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Maple Leafs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Maple Leafs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Maple Leafs | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 999.98$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Red Wings | 52c | 961.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.52 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Red Wings | 53c | 920$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.4 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Red Wings | 55c | 872.73$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.73 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb65c…dcdfbacked Maple Leafs | 45c | 846.89$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Maple Leafs | 65c | 840.99$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.62 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Red Wings | 53c | 789.54$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.14 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Red Wings | 48c | 783.71$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 601 | 41.9%252 W · 349 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961d…953dbacked Red Wings | 55c | 780$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3891backed Maple Leafs | 46c | 760$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Red Wings | 54c | 750$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Red Wings | 54c | 747.57$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.88 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 744$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.17 | 619 | 53.8%333 W · 286 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52d…6ddebacked Red Wings | 54c | 737.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Red Wings | 55c | 721$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.45 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3d…543cbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 720$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Red Wings | 46c | 718.5$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.91 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Red Wingsthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.