TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Warriors vs. Clippers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Clippersof Warriors, Clippers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$362,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$362,594

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 977 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19d8…1691backed Warriors2c52,000$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.8972241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Clippers69c27,694$19,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,544.5115056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea2c…b94dbacked Warriors1c15,829$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001637.5%6 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+74.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Warriors36c11,754$4,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,201.191,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Warriors1c11,621$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.971,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Warriors12c10,000$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1761,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ac…c395backed Warriors0c9,729$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9540%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd90…5d4ebacked Warriors0c6,682$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.47540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick14cpaid+438.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Warriors2c6,306$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.211,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x913a…4689backed Warriors38c6,200$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Warriors1c6,198$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9311719.7%23 W · 94 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Clippers67c6,061$4,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.118561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd6e…b233backed Warriors33c5,578$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick40cpaid+54.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x791e…17ddbacked Warriors20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Warriors32c4,766$1,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,547.2261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…4374backed Warriors12c4,651$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.1213140.5%53 W · 78 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Clippers64c4,608$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.5765642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c1…5a05backed Clippers66c4,575$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.472544%11 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d5c…aa03backed Clippers62c3,766$2,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,431.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Clippers78c3,736$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810.1336057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Warriors28c3,599$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Clippers71c2,678$1,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.371573.3%11 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Clippers66c2,547$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.553,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Clippers67c2,421$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.291,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4ed…ce43backed Clippers62c2,240$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Clippers52c2,146$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.171,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Warriors34c2,100$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.242142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Clippers65c2,077$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.0873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Clippers63c1,940$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.4977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Warriors4c1,667$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6793036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf259…7592backed Warriors1c1,519$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.957538.7%29 W · 46 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick31cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Warriors31c1,400$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.321,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb713…9126backed Warriors37c1,362$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.951735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Clippers69c1,341$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.051,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49ba…7f3cbacked Clippers66c1,300$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.961631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.22per pick53cpaid-46.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Clippers69c1,237$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.2925957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253e…bca4backed Warriors1c1,163$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Warriors4c1,112$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038027.1%103 W · 277 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Clippers56c1,101$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8137448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Clippers62c1,095$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2733752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe23…ea54backed Clippers61c1,055$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.451637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2065…48f2backed Warriors38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.031643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe330…1674backed Warriors6c1,051$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.31729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Warriors34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.038040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Clippers66c1,000$665 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.251,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Warriors40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.9425651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Warriors2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf38e…396cbacked Warriors1c1,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Warriors39c1,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38575347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ae…cb95backed Clippers66c1,000$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33626049.2%128 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e9…7003backed Warriors1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1060%0 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Clippers66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3401,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Clippers62c999.88$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.9529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bc1…06edbacked Warriors3c942.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6388335.3%312 W · 571 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0d…821cbacked Warriors35c847.72$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006642.4%28 W · 38 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Warriors46c760.95$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.7485347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Warriors33c741.35$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.6813920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaafb…3027backed Clippers68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.295764.9%37 W · 20 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Warriors39c646.64$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Clippers80c625$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12525865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x993d…f0a3backed Clippers66c608.77$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Warriors34c591.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004045%18 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Clippers69c585$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.689353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Warriors37c572.69$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.5150245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Warriors2c550$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Warriors14c522.3$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2965726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x061e…8e2fbacked Clippers77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.482937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc17a…1db3backed Warriors39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20015940.3%64 W · 95 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba68…ce61backed Warriors28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409330.1%28 W · 65 L-15.2wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-39.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked Warriors39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1959338.7%36 W · 57 L+10.0wins+0.11per pick28cpaid+91.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Warriors4c484.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.44573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Warriors27c477.6$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.735734.5%123 W · 234 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Warriors22c475.8$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.917141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb933…68f9backed Warriors35c465.63$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1651338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Warriors26c460$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.842434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Warriors5c454$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.748137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Warriors44c444$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3620245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed Clippers66c439.37$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.396160.7%37 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b7…bde1backed Warriors36c419.15$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1499739.2%38 W · 59 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Warriors35c418.45$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4615947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30bc…2529backed Warriors43c418.42$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.166744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e19…4380backed Clippers67c418.03$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.03475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+49.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x597a…621fbacked Warriors35c417.94$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Warriors33c391.91$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3396447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b85…a96cbacked Clippers68c346.85$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.271163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44a…8e18backed Clippers63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4612033.3%40 W · 80 L-11.6wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ea8…4f95backed Warriors22c314.46$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74a0…2ab4backed Clippers67c311.94$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.943953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2856…ed0ebacked Warriors16c309.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.27022.9%16 W · 54 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Clippers63c304.92$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8238942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2942…59abbacked Warriors34c300$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10218044.4%80 W · 100 L+15.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+36.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Clippers67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9912154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Warriors9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276942%29 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Warriors13c300$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3985449.4%422 W · 432 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4334…e6f2backed Warriors39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98a4…eeaabacked Warriors20c299.57$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2911636.2%42 W · 74 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Clippers74c295.75$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2939843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Warriors37c287.74$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.76947.8%33 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Warriors25c287.27$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.865240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.