NHL · resolved market
Oilers vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a9555bd4b5098462d31aec771842c1f5e91a5caf4d00e85323091e7d8e8371a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oilersof Oilers, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $136,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Kraken | 7c | 5,938$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.39 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe1…9b98backed Kraken | 0c | 3,499$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Kraken | 5c | 2,763$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.48 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…437bbacked Kraken | 1c | 2,352$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Kraken | 5c | 2,317$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…b3f7backed Kraken | 1c | 2,246$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 6c | 2,152$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.37 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 2c | 1,720$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69f…e9c2backed Kraken | 2c | 1,259$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffcc…5032backed Kraken | 1c | 1,220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…7883backed Kraken | 1c | 1,210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…edfcbacked Kraken | 1c | 1,190$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Kraken | 11c | 1,179$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.47 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c23…9c68backed Kraken | 1c | 1,050$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Oilers | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b5…7340backed Kraken | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 1%1 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Kraken | 35c | 819.37$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.55 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Oilers | 63c | 753.47$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.53 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc558…e8ccbacked Kraken | 37c | 713.78$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.1 | 133 | 61.7%82 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Oilers | 63c | 706.63$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b1…aaadbacked Kraken | 2c | 665.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d54…2386backed Oilers | 62c | 645.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.16 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e09…1c3fbacked Kraken | 38c | 541.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.94 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Kraken | 39c | 541.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Kraken | 35c | 541.36$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 418 | 51.4%215 W · 203 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Kraken | 35c | 508.97$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.81 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba02…e42bbacked Oilers | 64c | 499.95$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfae…30a3backed Kraken | 6c | 488.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5550…5b4dbacked Oilers | 61c | 487.93$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.93 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Kraken | 38c | 485.94$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.66 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Kraken | 24c | 421.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 37c | 401.88$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…a0bebacked Oilers | 65c | 380$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +29%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…418fbacked Kraken | 35c | 370$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked Kraken | 9c | 340.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2065…48f2backed Kraken | 36c | 299.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e3…83d2backed Kraken | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Kraken | 5c | 258.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Oilers | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Kraken | 35c | 227.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.45 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Oilers | 61c | 191.42$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…32b3backed Kraken | 36c | 188.16$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1976…0c71backed Oilers | 61c | 161$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Oilers | 79c | 159.89$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Kraken | 19c | 154.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 13c | 153.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken | 37c | 121.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Kraken | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 140 | 12.9%18 W · 122 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Oilers | 73c | 115.59$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.07 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…014abacked Kraken | 16c | 107.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…0187backed Oilers | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Oilers | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Kraken | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Oilers | 64c | 99.97$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.99 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59e8…af0dbacked Kraken | 19c | 89.23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…6964backed Kraken | 39c | 82$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f5…9ea8backed Kraken | 27c | 80.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3b…3410backed Kraken | 24c | 79.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8d…4ce9backed Kraken | 39c | 79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Oilers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Oilers | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82e0…b40abacked Kraken | 14c | 74.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc45…a7eabacked Kraken | 23c | 72.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Kraken | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Oilers | 65c | 69.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…b542backed Kraken | 18c | 68.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7181…381abacked Kraken | 18c | 65.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8e…fba1backed Oilers | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Oilers | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb99a…9f28backed Kraken | 24c | 60.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Oilers | 64c | 57.46$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Oilers | 62c | 56.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…5dd3backed Kraken | 39c | 55.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda9e…629bbacked Oilers | 60c | 55.77$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e4…8d24backed Kraken | 20c | 52.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x136d…3abcbacked Kraken | 24c | 52.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Oilers | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…bd26backed Oilers | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…e1a5backed Oilers | 60c | 45.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd53d…084cbacked Kraken | 40c | 41.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…2f6cbacked Oilers | 63c | 40.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78ce…850ebacked Oilers | 63c | 40.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe973…7005backed Oilers | 64c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x602a…37b6backed Kraken | 39c | 39.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842b…e24dbacked Kraken | 39c | 39.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a63…9ebfbacked Kraken | 39c | 39.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Kraken | 38c | 39.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc223…e3ddbacked Kraken | 40c | 38.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6e…2108backed Kraken | 40c | 38.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f63…3023backed Kraken | 32c | 38.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fec…7df2backed Kraken | 40c | 37.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8108…62e5backed Kraken | 39c | 37.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Kraken | 35c | 36.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…cb9bbacked Kraken | 39c | 35.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a09…7990backed Kraken | 37c | 35.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ba…148fbacked Kraken | 40c | 35.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa5…d9afbacked Kraken | 36c | 35.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…43d5backed Kraken | 36c | 34.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20bb…4d0cbacked Oilers | 61c | 33.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.