TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9660…aede

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
84
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 60 out of 100; worst Serie A at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+24.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$40.76
Jazz vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.56
Lakers vs. Netsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+31.6%+$12
Rockets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Magic vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+51.5%+$17.52
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$12.66
Bucks vs. Celticsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Wizards vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+38.9%+$14.58
Hornets vs. Lakersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+170.3%+$23.84
Mavericks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+212.5%+$42.5
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Nuggets vs. Celticsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+300%+$48
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$17
Bulls vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.5
Grizzlies vs. Jazzbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+25%+$20
Lakers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$25.16
Suns vs. Mavericksbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2025, EDT+37%+$27
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2025, EST+222.6%+$50.08
Pelicans vs. Lakersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Pelicans vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.67
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Jazz vs. Lakersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2025, EST-100%-$14
Cavaliers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Grizzlies vs. Raptorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2025, EST+31.6%+$19.58
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Bluesbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Sharks vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$12.65
Hurricanes vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+150%+$37.5
Canucks vs. Senatorsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Lightning vs. Panthersbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
Canadiens vs. Panthersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$48.97
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$71
Jets vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Lightning vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2025, EDT+143.1%+$30.06
Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawksbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2025, EST+42.9%+$23.14
Red Wings vs. Flyersbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$60.5
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.83
Oilers vs. Blackhawksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$28.74
Golden Knights vs. Sharksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$15.52
Senators vs. Red Wingsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21
Oilers vs. Krakenbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$24.23
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2025, EDT650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-30.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 4, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+89.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$45.51
Rockies vs. Oriolesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$48.29
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$13.73
Nationals vs. Bravesbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$21.05
All 5 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+220.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST+54.7%+$13.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+222.6%+$35.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverancebacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$158.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lipscomb vs. Iowa Statebacked Lipscomb · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Haiti vs. New Zealand end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Florida State vs. NC Statebacked Florida State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.