NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97873e84cde8d808605ff2437601ddad3ba5804ba4c2b0049c1b3c6cc87d8326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,043
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,214
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,043 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Blackhawks | 20c | 4,411$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.23 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Blackhawks | 32c | 2,220$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.32 | 236 | 42.8%101 W · 135 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 1,180$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.52 | 94 | 59.6%56 W · 38 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Maple Leafs | 66c | 1,159$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.63 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Blackhawks | 27c | 1,137$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.8 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Blackhawks | 30c | 998$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Blackhawks | 29c | 932.47$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.42 | 298 | 47%140 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Blackhawks | 31c | 859.67$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.81 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blackhawks | 13c | 803.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.34 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 781.79$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.79 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 694$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 670.95$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.29 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed Blackhawks | 49c | 629.2$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.31 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d42…9b05backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 394.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 393.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 391.7$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.51 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 345$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 343$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aff…ea51backed Blackhawks | 13c | 326.31$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Blackhawks | 30c | 245.62$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.69 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Blackhawks | 19c | 234.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 170.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a0…22c4backed Blackhawks | 31c | 169$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac56…5b67backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed Blackhawks | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bd…21ecbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 147$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 141.43$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdd…e736backed Blackhawks | 31c | 112.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blackhawks | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…3b94backed Blackhawks | 32c | 108.84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd569…2c6abacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 105.36$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edf…ffadbacked Blackhawks | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blackhawks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Blackhawks | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd10a…91e9backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 260 | 59.6%155 W · 105 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85a…8cd8backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…f8c4backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 88.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 25c | 84.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aea…6617backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf9…ba70backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 78.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1187backed Blackhawks | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 77.14$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 73.74$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f6…7953backed Blackhawks | 32c | 71.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6388…7622backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Blackhawks | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa0…fcc4backed Blackhawks | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9beb…d6fbbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…01edbacked Blackhawks | 31c | 63.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbd…5f98backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…ad3fbacked Blackhawks | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Blackhawks | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd560…03e3backed Blackhawks | 31c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…7c2fbacked Maple Leafs | 70c | 55.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Blackhawks | 31c | 54.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…a006backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 50.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Blackhawks | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x728c…4e58backed Blackhawks | 30c | 49.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Blackhawks | 30c | 49.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb1…9990backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…a5a1backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Blackhawks | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…3067backed Maple Leafs | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…5c1bbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…8509backed Maple Leafs | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x35d8…13e0backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9321…979dbacked Maple Leafs | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…0825backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 20.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8113…0a81backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 19.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcd…9adcbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…ec01backed Maple Leafs | 71c | 18.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c73…7cb6backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…e7e9backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…6552backed Maple Leafs | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2c…b96cbacked Maple Leafs | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa417…d778backed Maple Leafs | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.