TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

Will Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$56,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No11c16,608$1,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,771.562,52242.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L+54.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No7c7,020$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.5420132.3%65 W · 136 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d62…4efcbacked Yes26c3,077$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,276.92333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed No72c2,103$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.844533.3%15 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-44.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes27c1,614$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.862119%4 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No49c1,501$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.215,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No67c1,012$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.631,09843.8%481 W · 617 L-14.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c884.77$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.211,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes28c720.24$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.8762349.1%306 W · 317 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b9c…57b3backed Yes67c682.66$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes26c541.76$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4015240.4%21 W · 31 L+3.9wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes65c526$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.644252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes64c438$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.5510944%48 W · 61 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes25c426.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.161,25451.4%644 W · 610 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Yes26c400$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes26c386.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.775143.1%22 W · 29 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes26c380$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.1723633.5%79 W · 157 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No57c367.46$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0609…b093backed No15c349.75$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.56425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c0b…43cbbacked Yes26c309.87$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.7923927.2%65 W · 174 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12016350.9%83 W · 80 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Yes27c282.47$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.472630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No75c239.98$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.45862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes27c236$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.9912449.2%61 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No72c222.8$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.4447155.8%263 W · 208 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed No66c192.35$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5910436.5%38 W · 66 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No18c190$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.223845.8%109 W · 129 L+0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes65c177.96$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4616858.3%98 W · 70 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No72c169.43$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.255450%27 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263f…c744backed Yes33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.521241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Yes63c149$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.61291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+51.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed Yes68c147.43$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No43c143.83$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7512045.8%55 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Yes26c140.12$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.691338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…7b3fbacked No74c140.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.694242.9%18 W · 24 L-4.4wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-19%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbd1…553dbacked No73c135.23$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.15250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+233.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x995e…534cbacked Yes80c131$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.22948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bfb…9f00backed No63c126.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803467.6%23 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes51c118.73$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6579435.1%279 W · 515 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e3b…f1c5backed Yes26c115.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.381533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No38c114.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.773928.2%11 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No39c113.53$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.481,11049.5%549 W · 561 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No73c111$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.033243.8%14 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No33c103.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7112552.8%66 W · 59 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No48c102.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7749044.3%217 W · 273 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb7…391ebacked No61c101.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.784573.3%33 W · 12 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xabe5…d99abacked Yes67c99.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes26c94.85$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.087455.4%41 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No73c82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.867455.4%41 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes60c81.67$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.679269.6%64 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef46…f872backed Yes31c80.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes25c79.58$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.585328.3%15 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a63…b752backed Yes39c79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.191353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4307…15e5backed Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79fd…78cebacked Yes41c76.11$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.114042.5%17 W · 23 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x94ff…e9b3backed Yes76c72.27$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.27366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No73c70.32$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4553148.8%259 W · 272 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed No49c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1382…7820backed No30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-63%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed No36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205870.7%41 W · 17 L+8.2wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+21.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes42c50.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2662652.6%329 W · 297 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa37e…2988backed No76c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed No29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9660…aedebacked Yes26c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+220.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed No25c48.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212659.5%75 W · 51 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes61c47.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5411059.1%65 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No56c45.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2930750.8%156 W · 151 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a2f…c5d0backed No74c40.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.25036%18 W · 32 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5c1…0101backed Yes27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.21250%6 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+74.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked No51c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.553831.6%12 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e2…37dabacked Yes54c39.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.492166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x485d…fc8abacked Yes67c37.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.35560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-19.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8415…dfe1backed No74c37$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.381747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Yes45c33.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.441250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0180…b8cdbacked Yes33c33.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.334143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f2…a7a0backed No41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.261233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-49.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.84645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x641c…3d21backed Yes55c29.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4b4…15e3backed No75c28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed No75c26.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209248.9%45 W · 47 L-7.9wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcfde…a13ebacked Yes58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c8…2cb0backed No75c25$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.75425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-64.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec6d…ecb6backed Yes65c24.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed No70c22.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827639.1%108 W · 168 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b72…5b75backed No73c19.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x14de…489cbacked Yes69c19.91$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.17955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c05…0a4fbacked Yes57c19.85$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a39…bf2abacked No75c17.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick76cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2d9…f193backed Yes60c16.73$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.691729.4%5 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x788f…c351backed No75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd21c…6ab2backed No75c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1411…ab6ebacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.