TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0609…b093

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
126
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT2020%4 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-54.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portsmouth FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.67
Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$52.89
Will Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$76.23
Will Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27.54
Will Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.88
Spread: Norwich City FC (-2.5)backed Norwich City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.95
Norwich City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$70.57
Millwall FC vs. Birmingham City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.9
Sheffield United FC vs. Coventry City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$53.7
Stoke City FC vs. Oxford United FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.95
Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Leicester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+104.1%+$41.31
Will Hull City AFC vs. Derby County FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$16.39
Will Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30.33
Watford FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$83.22
Southampton FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$39.69
Wrexham AFC vs. Portsmouth FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+74.2%+$65.5
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.46
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$37.6
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$54.79
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20.41
All 20 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+40.8%+$4.11
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$12.63
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will Donald Trump issue 75-99 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump issue 50-74 executive orders in his first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Mike Gallagher be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Ron DeSantis be Trump's Defense Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Total crypto market cap over $4 trillion on Jan 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his inauguration speech? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Will Mike Johnson be the first elected Speaker of the House for the 119th congress?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST+46.1%+$23.07
Will there be a US Government shutdown? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2024, EST+101.1%+$50.53
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2024, EST+40.8%+$20.42
All 14 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick41cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.01
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$69.39
Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)backed Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.95
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$24.43
Will CD Huachipato vs. Carabobo FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$36.75
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+40.8%+$13.53
CA Platense vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$44.21
Will CR Vasco da Gama vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.77
Will Club León FC vs. Tigres de la UANL end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.79
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.94
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$63.67
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$43.71
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.96
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.04
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+37%+$10.11
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$32.89
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+75.8%+$17.3
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+184.8%+$54.8
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+57.8%+$47.55
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1070%7 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vermont Catamounts vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks (W)backed Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.49
Spread: New Mexico Lobos (-1.5)backed New Mexico Lobos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$26.75
Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-6.5)backed TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+47.1%+$16.42
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bears: O/U 154.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$32.21
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia State Panthersbacked Coastal Carolina Chanticleers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$26.33
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs. Georgia State Panthers: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+51.5%+$20.43
Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons: O/U 150.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.82
Kentucky Wildcats vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$34.24
Spread: Marshall Thundering Herd (-6.5)backed Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$29.95
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knightsbacked Le Moyne Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.48
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick24cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-75.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-24.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Luka Dončić: Assists O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+100%+$27.57
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.19
Heat vs. Bucks: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.19
Spread: Heat (-6.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+85.2%+$22.98
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+82.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: TOS (-1.5) vs Cães de Água (+1.5)backed Cães de Água · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$30.98
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trudeau out before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,004Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$1,924.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+78.8%+$175.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$39.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+53.8%+$53.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 18, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+53.8%+$21.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Central Coast Mariners FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$106.89
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $40 February 23-March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$41.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$39.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.