World Politics · resolved market
Trudeau out before April?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47531c9032a272679648284fdf10a47ee52da16ce2525c6a925962e0693b21c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $425,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $396,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $425,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 610 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x25a9…f991backed No | 0c | 91,498$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 4c | 17,241$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.38 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 76c | 14,645$11,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,558.96 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -71%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked No | 2c | 8,810$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.27 | 78 | 0%0 W · 78 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…4400backed No | 21c | 5,721$1,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…9bd2backed No | 27c | 5,540$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 5c | 5,298$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…890cbacked No | 2c | 4,805$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 25c | 4,010$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 23c | 3,419$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.43 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c56…2845backed Yes | 74c | 2,922$2,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9980…e0b2backed No | 10c | 2,729$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…7328backed No | 27c | 2,710$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…2339backed No | 23c | 2,690$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…1a0dbacked No | 20c | 2,656$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed No | 38c | 2,652$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba68…ce61backed No | 35c | 2,507$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed No | 26c | 2,425$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f29…dd03backed Yes | 79c | 2,415$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.09 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6454…5053backed No | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…d9f4backed No | 21c | 2,337$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 1c | 2,270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1b…537dbacked Yes | 67c | 2,197$1,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed No | 26c | 2,185$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.16 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +640.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…8f6abacked Yes | 68c | 2,032$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…dc58backed No | 36c | 2,009$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…ea3dbacked No | 33c | 2,001$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…06cabacked No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e4…3fd4backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 19c | 1,976$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.99 | 206 | 14.6%30 W · 176 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…acb6backed No | 10c | 1,907$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ad…9848backed Yes | 76c | 1,900$1,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…27cfbacked No | 34c | 1,861$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 69c | 1,790$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.39 | 120 | 40%48 W · 72 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd77…3ddbbacked No | 1c | 1,677$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…28a3backed No | 4c | 1,642$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed Yes | 72c | 1,600$1,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed No | 30c | 1,488$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.86 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…a264backed Yes | 71c | 1,450$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked No | 6c | 1,396$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.77 | 71 | 25.4%18 W · 53 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x717a…1b62backed No | 10c | 1,384$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 13c | 1,383$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.65 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…a2e7backed Yes | 73c | 1,360$993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7d…8406backed Yes | 73c | 1,350$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4954…e398backed No | 1c | 1,303$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,296$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…e0f7backed Yes | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 19c | 1,277$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.45 | 89 | 21.3%19 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +105.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815a…04cebacked Yes | 75c | 1,250$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e8…77d2backed No | 27c | 1,240$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 68c | 1,230$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.25 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff9…201ebacked Yes | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3607…c08bbacked No | 28c | 1,187$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fea…d383backed No | 2c | 1,166$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed Yes | 67c | 1,101$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.5 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07a5…c2fdbacked No | 33c | 1,100$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…acfdbacked No | 23c | 1,100$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x779d…4df9backed No | 24c | 1,075$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 68c | 1,074$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.15 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c3…ebf6backed Yes | 74c | 1,050$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4cc0backed Yes | 65c | 1,009$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d7…67c2backed Yes | 67c | 1,001$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28cb…1d6ebacked No | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214d…facfbacked Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…9ea3backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64d…40debacked Yes | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe464…d184backed Yes | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…8261backed No | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8258…f208backed Yes | 71c | 999.97$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 69c | 993.43$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…d51dbacked Yes | 74c | 950$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb4…75fcbacked No | 24c | 900$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9b…ef70backed No | 20c | 896.23$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…574ebacked No | 23c | 872.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd34…1b66backed No | 13c | 862.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 27c | 857.33$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.11 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5446…18f6backed Yes | 75c | 838$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.92 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 8c | 820.25$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 21c | 766.81$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.48 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 29c | 750.48$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a41…e957backed No | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 63c | 749.93$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…aeaabacked Yes | 70c | 744.46$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.34 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 2c | 743.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27e…827dbacked Yes | 76c | 713.56$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ed…d9ebbacked No | 2c | 705.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fa…89b2backed No | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…7895backed No | 34c | 699.93$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5838…3636backed No | 26c | 655.11$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.24 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…4393backed No | 31c | 638.59$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7f…a52cbacked No | 17c | 628.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 72c | 616$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.78 | 101 | 31.7%32 W · 69 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 28c | 615.9$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.02 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451c…2856backed Yes | 74c | 614.76$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…c16cbacked No | 16c | 610.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26d…1834backed Yes | 73c | 537.88$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 15c | 520.59$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.