TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,068
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,068 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No42c5,319$2,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.061,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed No42c4,990$2,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.744139%16 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No41c4,161$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.7526645.9%122 W · 144 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b7…5facbacked Yes59c3,400$2,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3942100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+71%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes58c2,940$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.9812344.7%55 W · 68 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Yes57c2,049$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.074358.1%25 W · 18 L+7.7wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+66.6%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No41c2,032$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.9313843.5%60 W · 78 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No28c1,938$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.3260136.9%222 W · 379 L-28.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No42c1,851$774 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$773.9443427.4%119 W · 315 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No42c1,547$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.9410733.6%36 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes63c1,505$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.9910051%51 W · 49 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No41c1,269$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.1759741.7%249 W · 348 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes59c1,036$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.836253.2%33 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b7e…7f73backed Yes58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.483036.7%11 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid+21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes58c1,034$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$434.488556.5%48 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed No41c999.93$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.973148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…b78bbacked Yes61c955.43$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.411163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes57c895.15$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.9226047.7%124 W · 136 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes58c865.29$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.0718250.5%92 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…d4debacked Yes58c862.07$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.077245.8%33 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30421460.7%130 W · 84 L+21.0wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No40c799.95$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.981926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c747.14$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.281,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4376…c247backed No21c658.09$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1750%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x421b…8982backed Yes59c620.56$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.433240.6%13 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x650e…9147backed Yes61c562.69$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.971154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes58c531.38$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.123426.5%9 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2056844.1%30 W · 38 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No42c499.98$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.9920644.7%92 W · 114 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7748…58d7backed No43c481.31$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.961952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+66.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Yes57c440$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.23971.8%28 W · 11 L+5.5wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No37c433.09$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.841,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes58c398.2$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.248146.9%38 W · 43 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No9c361.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5216036.9%59 W · 101 L-10.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-33.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdff8…3b41backed Yes59c329.95$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.28837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Yes57c329.79$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.512688.5%23 W · 3 L+8.1wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+60.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked No43c316$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.885448.1%26 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes59c288.14$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.1412843.8%56 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes59c253$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7329350.5%148 W · 145 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No43c250$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.538253.9%206 W · 176 L+21.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x40b3…9ef3backed Yes59c207.83$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.212100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+107.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.93253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7814645.2%66 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6768…692dbacked No42c189.79$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.196952.2%36 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes56c186.02$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.854459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x322e…a2cebacked Yes57c175$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.252770.4%19 W · 8 L+7.0wins+0.26per pick45cpaid+59.3%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.416065%39 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41875%6 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+145.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228e…a457backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes58c171.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.087064.3%45 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc88b…0912backed Yes58c169.95$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.383100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+122.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x63d6…3273backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.494153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf986…9f71backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.495651.8%29 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70db…dba8backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+69%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No42c143.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010431.7%33 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+23.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes58c137.93$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.935549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x98e0…bf01backed No43c135.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.223452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick62cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No41c124$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4611952.1%62 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Yes58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42548%12 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509739.2%38 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes59c115.83$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4920639.3%81 W · 125 L+25.6wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+43.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes58c112$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.049652.1%50 W · 46 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed No43c111.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-45%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked No41c106.58$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.711036.4%40 W · 70 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dd8…5335backed Yes58c102.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.232040%8 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.696141%25 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Yes61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407667.1%51 W · 25 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x98e1…0f24backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4125659.8%153 W · 103 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed No40c99.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406243.5%27 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfb48…ffe7backed Yes57c99.99$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes62c98.05$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.93145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c72…893ebacked Yes59c93.22$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.22560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No26c90$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0424545.3%111 W · 134 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes61c87.37$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.373650%18 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+61.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes59c84.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.856254.8%34 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753135.5%11 W · 20 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc67c…9ad5backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753735.1%13 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.758349.4%41 W · 42 L+8.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+60%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334528.9%13 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed No42c83.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes58c77.59$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.592437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid+15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+19.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…d90ebacked Yes64c67.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.471471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x41fb…b6b0backed Yes59c67.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.881546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8866…a584backed Yes60c61.67$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.775362.3%33 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0cd…cc23backed Yes58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4993…2e40backed Yes58c60.34$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.34580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+37.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…c4b2backed Yes59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3397…3f53backed Yes60c58.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.331060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a53…8c81backed Yes58c53.79$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.591931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-33.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x093a…1b3fbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.725100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.854351.2%22 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.