Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96eb89ec11b0eb165bc2b42b56013556a97fdc1c7c43fef2ba47fd7402777942
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x916f…53babacked Under | 37c | 66,893$24,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,931.66 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2795…fd6bbacked Under | 43c | 21,051$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 49cpaid | -73%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…a9e9backed Over | 60c | 13,228$7,937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,291.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 44c | 12,802$5,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,632.92 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Over | 61c | 10,000$6,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,849.99 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 59c | 9,019$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,719.27 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 40c | 7,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 63c | 5,349$3,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,979.13 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 37c | 5,221$1,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,945.73 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…2734backed Over | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Over | 80c | 4,915$3,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 64c | 4,740$3,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.98 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78ad…45ccbacked Under | 45c | 4,500$2,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,020.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 4,474$2,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,966.65 | 266 | 45.9%122 W · 144 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Over | 60c | 4,438$2,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,758.94 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.29per pick | 58cpaid | +52%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 58c | 4,389$2,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.72 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over | 57c | 4,300$2,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.99 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Over | 62c | 4,169$2,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.44 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.99 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 63c | 3,811$2,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.67 | 597 | 41.7%249 W · 348 L | -18.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 56c | 3,747$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.66 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 42c | 3,676$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.6 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Over | 60c | 2,555$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 62c | 2,334$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.22 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a1…73d6backed Under | 45c | 2,220$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Over | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 60c | 1,799$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.6 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 1,628$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.2 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Under | 12c | 1,449$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.32 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 59c | 1,433$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.27 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 57c | 1,366$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.56 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 59c | 1,355$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad15…ee7fbacked Over | 64c | 1,270$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.32 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 38c | 1,153$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Under | 40c | 1,143$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.88 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ca…bd97backed Over | 79c | 1,081$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78bf…7300backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Under | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Over | 58c | 999.97$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 38c | 882.93$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.21 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 63c | 833$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.21 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 64c | 830.89$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.89 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 46c | 821$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.3 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…9399backed Under | 41c | 799.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…d6d1backed Over | 59c | 790$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8a…4e15backed Over | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 57c | 745.69$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…137cbacked Under | 41c | 740$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 728.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.61 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 62c | 725.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d0…0547backed Over | 60c | 720$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 38c | 711.83$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.62 | 297 | 46.5%138 W · 159 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 70c | 700$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 22c | 670.64$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 14c | 634$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 57c | 625.65$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.04 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…02b4backed Over | 60c | 625$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +41%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Over | 60c | 613.59$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.63 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 58c | 606.51$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.52 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 62c | 599.96$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.99 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 52c | 580.85$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.86 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 59c | 554.98$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 55c | 543.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.94 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed Over | 56c | 530.57$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Over | 61c | 516.67$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 58c | 515.49$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.49 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91e…b045backed Under | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Over | 60c | 498.36$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.36 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under | 45c | 445.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 55c | 405.45$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.45 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 70c | 399.98$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 39c | 394.52$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.54 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 63c | 379.01$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…6afebacked Over | 60c | 358.97$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Over | 56c | 339.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.58 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…3377backed Over | 78c | 300$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 51c | 296.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 69c | 290.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.1 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 60c | 283.5$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.75 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…dd01backed Under | 35c | 281.49$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +183.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 63c | 270$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 58c | 267.39$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.39 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Under | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.