Champions League · resolved market
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb962ca6fbc961709f5fca44b408cae7f6492dbcdff108acc1fd4e9bd9dcdbe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $130,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 11,389$6,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,717.11 | 1,959 | 44.1%863 W · 1,096 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Over | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Over | 46c | 7,782$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,579.71 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 60c | 7,293$4,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,895.42 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Under | 66c | 5,276$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,794 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Under | 57c | 4,999$2,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 36c | 4,107$1,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.02 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x073f…ed92backed Over | 35c | 4,005$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.54 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 73c | 2,682$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.4 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 65c | 2,554$1,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.2 | 582 | 48.8%284 W · 298 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 55c | 2,507$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.77 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +20.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Over | 43c | 2,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 2,294$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.14 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Over | 45c | 2,200$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.99 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over | 34c | 2,088$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$713.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 46c | 2,018$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.36 | 160 | 36.9%59 W · 101 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 59c | 1,704$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.05 | 591 | 36.5%216 W · 375 L | -30.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 24c | 1,611$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.94 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 34c | 1,507$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.35 | 387 | 48.3%187 W · 200 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3703…fdadbacked Over | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf425…be71backed Over | 54c | 1,410$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 75c | 1,331$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 48c | 1,268$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.77 | 159 | 36.5%58 W · 101 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…b0b9backed Over | 68c | 1,221$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 53c | 1,175$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.78 | 343 | 42.3%145 W · 198 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db9…c73bbacked Over | 42c | 1,155$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 48c | 1,147$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.79 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed Under | 62c | 1,018$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 243 | 27.2%66 W · 177 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 60c | 992.1$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58aa…a481backed Under | 67c | 970.15$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.15 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 32c | 932.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 64c | 927$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.72 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 910.64$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.66 | 1,487 | 40.3%599 W · 888 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Under | 66c | 909.09$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.09 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Over | 30c | 904.4$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 54c | 891.41$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.05 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Under | 25c | 798.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.84 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 66c | 735.04$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.18 | 70 | 68.6%48 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over | 55c | 730.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb31…3bf2backed Under | 66c | 610$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Over | 36c | 599.92$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.97 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…acfabacked Over | 25c | 599.51$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 38c | 550$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9a…412ebacked Over | 36c | 548.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 48c | 529.66$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.65 | 156 | 57.1%89 W · 67 L | +10.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed Over | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 511.87$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.29 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Over | 42c | 495.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…6952backed Over | 62c | 460$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.8 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Over | 70c | 453.13$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.7 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 39c | 443.63$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.03 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 42c | 427.17$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Over | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd6…84cdbacked Over | 68c | 355$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 58c | 354.99$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.9 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 348.22$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.79 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 45c | 343.5$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 41c | 328.33$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 206 | 39.3%81 W · 125 L | +25.6wins | +0.12per pick | 27cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb5…cabdbacked Under | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Over | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c71…22dbbacked Over | 38c | 283.21$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 32c | 279.34$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…67f7backed Over | 34c | 276.47$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc7…01e0backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3454…333bbacked Over | 46c | 255.93$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Over | 61c | 246.02$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.07 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 49c | 235.85$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.09 | 242 | 45.9%111 W · 131 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Under | 8c | 232.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.2 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +162.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8252…e65cbacked Over | 27c | 227$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Under | 67c | 221.16$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x421b…8982backed Over | 55c | 218.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.92 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4211…cc77backed Over | 42c | 216.94$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 37c | 212.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.23 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Under | 54c | 203$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.16 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Over | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…5ac3backed Over | 60c | 199.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 51c | 194.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +61.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed Under | 68c | 193.83$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 33c | 188.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Under | 64c | 186.3$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 122 | 54.9%67 W · 55 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Over | 40c | 180$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 61c | 178$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.42 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed Under | 56c | 177.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 40c | 177.19$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Under | 59c | 170.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 20c | 164.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 81 | 44.4%36 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…ef3abacked Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdf…56f5backed Over | 34c | 163.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Over | 65c | 153.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5this page
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.