TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb311…264f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will SK Brann win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Bologna FC 1909 vs. SK Brann: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$49.8
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
FC Viktoria Plzeň vs. Panathinaikós AO: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.63
FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+96.1%+$28.82
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+100%+$15
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+455.6%+$136.67
Will FC Viktoria Plzeň win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$30
PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+117.4%+$17.61
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.41
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+194.1%+$29.12
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+316.7%+$47.5
Celtic FC vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.81
SK Brann vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16.25
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+143.9%+$21.59
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+47.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. AS Monaco FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.85
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$19.18
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$21.72
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$76
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+900%+$720
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$71.8
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+69.5%+$27.8
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+47.1%+$18.82
All 17 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-41.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
AC Milan vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+127.3%+$25.45
Atalanta BC vs. SSC Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Will Genoa CFC vs. Torino FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Cagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US Lecce vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Juventus FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Everton FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+110%+$59.07
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$38.65
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$69.5
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+68.1%+$13.62
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Aston Villa FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Chelsea FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+203%+$60.91
Pelicans vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.