TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,732
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,976

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,732 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes60c7,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2003458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No40c5,548$2,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,328.582867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+29.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c4,117$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,242.963,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c2,360$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,398.9876234.8%265 W · 497 L+9.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x478f…f5d9backed Yes59c1,269$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+60%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed No42c1,192$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.554835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Yes59c939.99$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.593158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xedb1…819ebacked Yes59c847.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500850%4 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked No42c608.71$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.967129.6%21 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed No46c543.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.73250%16 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes58c517.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.255046%23 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes59c487.14$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.418363.9%53 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506262.9%39 W · 23 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+31%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes58c358.93$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.1833340.8%136 W · 197 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Yes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes58c323.88$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.4651136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0d7…f9fabacked Yes59c316.69$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.732748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3759…6b3bbacked No40c295$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.027335.6%26 W · 47 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No41c237.29$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14027726.4%73 W · 204 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No41c177.09$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.986533.8%22 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198b…f3f1backed Yes58c172.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012271.3%87 W · 35 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes59c169.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.863253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes37c135.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7211045.5%50 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No40c111.25$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.758037.5%30 W · 50 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5048…4b29backed Yes59c104.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+100.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb32e…a46abacked Yes35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353246.9%15 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+26.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.58946.1%41 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Yes53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531675%12 W · 4 L+4.2wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+60%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2e…b2e7backed Yes58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+50.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No42c99.97$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.9810454.8%57 W · 47 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…298cbacked Yes51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb87…88d1backed Yes58c91$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-42%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b8…6a66backed Yes59c88.14$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525768.4%39 W · 18 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes59c85.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…81e0backed Yes59c84.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.97650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Yes59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+25.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0a20…af22backed Yes58c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+51.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff8…1bcfbacked Yes57c79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.03250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No42c78.53$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.554030%12 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No46c74.52$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,30540.8%532 W · 773 L-42.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28a2…91a4backed Yes57c71$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.472650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe200…5886backed Yes58c68.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeee2…035dbacked Yes32c61.79$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa39f…0af2backed Yes59c60$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.41450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes35c56.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205547.3%26 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ea…0d78backed Yes59c55.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed Yes44c52.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.094946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbd…475fbacked Yes58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed No42c51.72$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3010945.9%50 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Yes58c51.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Yes46c50.99$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4616542.4%70 W · 95 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Yes57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.52352.2%12 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7d7…e943backed Yes58c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe071…d24cbacked Yes40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…9c83backed Yes57c46$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.221266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No41c44.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0944749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes59c43.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2616750.9%85 W · 82 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x889d…e36bbacked Yes58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-59%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2ff…121cbacked Yes59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb7…f733backed Yes41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+31.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes59c39.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.51875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93c7…3613backed Yes59c36.42$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3a…d5b0backed Yes58c34.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9532…fba3backed Yes59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc3df…3e0cbacked Yes60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202070%14 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No63c32.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1248658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No58c32.31$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.738151.4%196 W · 185 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4161…272dbacked Yes59c30.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x711d…fe4bbacked No43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.13100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+134.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x62f0…afe6backed No43c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3552…0d65backed Yes40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122560%15 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x36c9…3f9fbacked No43c29$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84c6…f8afbacked No43c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.96683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+44.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed No43c28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.965100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+90.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb311…264fbacked Yes59c20.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2844…5aa1backed Yes58c18.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.