Bundesliga · resolved market
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3af2ed2d06247a92d54def050472cf9969d10e3cb11da1a242e7e77f6696eef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $169,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $174,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $169,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Over | 57c | 29,998$17,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,239.67 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 56c | 23,149$12,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,950.13 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 14,857$7,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,230.07 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Over | 0c | 12,810$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 6,583$2,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,730.68 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2f…6cadbacked Under | 44c | 5,495$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 44c | 5,224$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.52 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Under | 45c | 5,189$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.68 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 56c | 4,986$2,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.15 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 56c | 4,600$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.96 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Under | 43c | 4,183$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.12 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 57c | 3,642$2,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,076.14 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Under | 40c | 3,353$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,011.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5165…175bbacked Under | 44c | 3,098$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.86 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Under | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.99 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 2,926$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.54 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 41c | 2,304$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350.48 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 1,979$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.34 | 341 | 44.6%152 W · 189 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…e29dbacked Over | 1c | 1,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked Over | 58c | 1,725$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Over | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.39 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 31c | 1,174$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.5 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 56c | 1,116$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.92 | 511 | 36.8%188 W · 323 L | -28.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Under | 44c | 1,053$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.68 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Over | 58c | 1,011$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.17 | 49 | 75.5%37 W · 12 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…2a7ebacked Over | 45c | 1,004$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.54 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 56c | 961$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.16 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a5…9dccbacked Over | 22c | 909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.98 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +13.8wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Over | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…505cbacked Over | 62c | 859.62$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 49c | 794.13$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.37 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 58c | 775.86$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x162f…585abacked Over | 57c | 725.33$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 56c | 708.45$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.73 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Over | 56c | 607$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 57c | 587.72$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 45c | 524.99$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.74 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 187 | 59.4%111 W · 76 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd479…dd18backed Over | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…81d7backed Over | 57c | 482.46$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 40c | 464$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 43c | 463.76$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.59 | 447 | 49.4%221 W · 226 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 44c | 420$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 88 | 64.8%57 W · 31 L | +11.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 56c | 418.36$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.28 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 41c | 400$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.08 | 228 | 29.4%67 W · 161 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Under | 59c | 371.9$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 42c | 346$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 63c | 314.49$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 58c | 307.49$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.39 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…18dfbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 63 | 66.7%42 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 39c | 270.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.85 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb447…8582backed Over | 51c | 263.71$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2303…b9a7backed Under | 43c | 251.47$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.34 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 57c | 228.63$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.32 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8dd…ddbcbacked Over | 57c | 227.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.95 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…3767backed Over | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3f…753cbacked Over | 48c | 222.29$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 215$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 43c | 203.77$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.21 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 29c | 203.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1f27backed Over | 56c | 199.97$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…9c9bbacked Over | 51c | 197.98$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…f4d0backed Over | 57c | 196$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 29c | 192.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 44c | 192.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…45e7backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d3…4255backed Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 138 | 59.4%82 W · 56 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +6.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 38c | 170$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Under | 44c | 170$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Under | 44c | 169.97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 58c | 159.44$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe19a…abafbacked Over | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Under | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…0e75backed Over | 42c | 143.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5this page
- RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 1.5Over won
- RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5Under won
- RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)RB Leipzig won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.