TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe071…d24c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
182
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST4850%24 W · 24 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 48 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.2
Newcastle United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Brentford FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$23.56
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$19.6
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$87.6
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+25%+$58.4
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$20
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
Will Manchester United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$23.08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$16.67
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+131.9%+$46.17
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+106.2%+$42.47
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20.86
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+45%+$30.17
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+143.9%+$35.4
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Will Brentford FC win on 2025-12-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$28
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-12-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Showing 25 of 48 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$23.2
Will 1. FC Köln vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+41.2%+$29.2
RB Leipzig vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+159.2%+$31.85
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$26.4
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+156.4%+$39.65
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+100%+$25
Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Spread: Bayern München (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$37
Will Hamburger SV win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+194.1%+$38.82
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2025-12-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-11-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+127.3%+$66.18
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Union Berlin vs. Bayern München: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$12
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT2070%14 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25%+$7.1
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+44.5%+$77
Zama auction clearing price above $0.04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+32.2%+$36.52
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+35.1%+$26
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$48
Brevis FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+26%+$61.9
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+33%+$12.4
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$45
VOOI FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+29.9%+$23.9
Over $20M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+41%+$38.79
Over $70M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+31.6%+$15.79
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$33
Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+203%+$42.64
Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$54
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+31.6%+$31.58
All 20 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+25%+$6.25
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$32.7
Will Como 1907 vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$26.6
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Will Hellas Verona FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. AC Milan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+138.1%+$33.14
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$28.4
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$27.5
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.82
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)backed Juventus FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Will AS Roma win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST+93.8%+$28.15
Will Torino FC win on 2025-12-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Torino FC vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 17 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.46
LoL: GAM Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$93.15
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.6
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+138.1%+$58
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$31
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.5
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+72.8%+$33.7
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+29.9%+$6.9
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+31.6%+$24
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3)backed Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+26.6%+$6.3
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$52
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+115.3%+$138.33
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$31.96
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.77
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 19 to January 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+81.8%+$45
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 17 to January 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$52.71
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 15 to January 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$25
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$115
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+37%+$10.8
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-01-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$12
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Valencia vs. Sevilla end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+400%+$48
Will Sevilla win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$28
Will Elche CF win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.2%+$30.56
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Rayo Vallecano win on 2025-11-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+60%+$14.25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-38.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hobart International: Peyton Stearns vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Stearns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+31.4%+$79.11
ASB Classic: Emilio Nava vs Sebastian Baezbacked Nava · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$85.44
Adelaide International: Jaqueline Cristian vs Ekaterina Alexandrovabacked Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+66.7%+$16.67
Hobart International, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parksbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Brisbane International: Elena Rybakina vs Karolina Muchovabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$23.45
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$106.99
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Michael Mmoh vs Karen Khachanovbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50.4
Brisbane International: Diana Shnaider vs Madison Keysbacked Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+29.9%+$69
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.9%+$5.38
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 21, 2025, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.8
Jazz vs. Bullsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Bucks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21
All 4 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelers: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+53.8%+$17.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+26.7%+$4.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Predatorsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "House Tour" get 15 million or more views in the first week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.