Token Launches · resolved market
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x980c59da5da926f9fe3504fb1fd6d82c643afeba4026d2f37297f443d9600855
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $209,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,530
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $209,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7871…77c6backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked No | 53c | 9,000$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 8,873$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.25 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed No | 7c | 7,239$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.79 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 62c | 7,019$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,337.51 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…de1fbacked Yes | 66c | 6,308$4,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 72c | 5,957$4,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,259.4 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed Yes | 31c | 5,820$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,020.99 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 64c | 5,439$3,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,467.79 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08ea…0751backed Yes | 46c | 4,460$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,426.34 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…8aa4backed Yes | 43c | 4,337$1,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.5 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 33c | 4,257$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.58 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b266backed Yes | 51c | 3,911$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b2…089abacked Yes | 30c | 3,582$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 8c | 3,302$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…047fbacked Yes | 33c | 3,300$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeabd…3a01backed Yes | 34c | 3,294$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.57 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked Yes | 43c | 3,253$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.53 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…d1bbbacked No | 71c | 3,174$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2102…9362backed No | 65c | 3,046$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 3,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…c006backed Yes | 37c | 2,829$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 33c | 2,806$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.92 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 64c | 2,745$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.24 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…824fbacked Yes | 76c | 2,613$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…460dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,513$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,553.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 35c | 2,507$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.98 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…49acbacked No | 62c | 2,471$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…ba96backed No | 6c | 2,385$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.02 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1b…efb5backed Yes | 79c | 1,947$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.55 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +11.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 54c | 1,848$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.33 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 31c | 1,842$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.91 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 6c | 1,759$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.12 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…d8bcbacked Yes | 32c | 1,741$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.07 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed Yes | 34c | 1,677$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 51c | 1,505$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.88 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed Yes | 45c | 1,438$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.31 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43bd…dda3backed No | 69c | 1,353$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…c192backed No | 6c | 1,300$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd649…6bffbacked No | 66c | 1,280$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.8 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 73c | 1,224$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.82 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…0206backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed No | 64c | 999.99$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 18c | 970$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.6 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0605…1634backed Yes | 76c | 932.74$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…9890backed Yes | 61c | 900$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 899.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbfd…57bcbacked Yes | 33c | 895.64$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.64 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 12c | 805$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.9 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fd…b2f0backed Yes | 32c | 800$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb343…46bbbacked Yes | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.18per pick | 29cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed No | 63c | 787$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.9 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 37c | 780.31$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…4958backed No | 65c | 762.75$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 50c | 756.19$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.36 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 35c | 712.82$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.8 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9d…1c47backed No | 66c | 700$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…c8ebbacked No | 66c | 681.64$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked Yes | 34c | 619.08$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.02 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…446abacked Yes | 32c | 600$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…8546backed Yes | 35c | 571.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.49 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7d21backed No | 20c | 570.5$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.59 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 31c | 553.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.1 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…cf73backed No | 73c | 548.36$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed No | 65c | 547.58$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.93 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…923dbacked No | 74c | 530.42$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc73…242bbacked Yes | 40c | 507.83$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +94.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 8c | 507.14$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.43 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 8c | 505.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6b…cc03backed Yes | 30c | 500.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.01 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 8c | 500$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…b1b9backed Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.20per pick | 27cpaid | +456.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Yes | 30c | 499.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.99 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c40…f5aebacked Yes | 63c | 474.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 40c | 462.08$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.93 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 46c | 440.9$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.48 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5270…7e83backed No | 23c | 436.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5e07backed No | 60c | 429.98$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.09 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 34c | 415.33$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.88 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e56fbacked Yes | 80c | 412.35$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 76c | 400$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 59c | 400$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 64c | 399.99$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…19d8backed Yes | 32c | 388.24$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.24 | 50 | 26%13 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 10c | 379.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 15c | 370$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.8 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed No | 7c | 354.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 65c | 334.71$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.78 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91f9…ba4dbacked Yes | 28c | 322.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…be54backed Yes | 63c | 318.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.1 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed Yes | 77c | 310$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…cdedbacked No | 66c | 302$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 63c | 300$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed No | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…54fdbacked Yes | 24c | 300$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa29d…6d1ebacked Yes | 28c | 281.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.48 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +7.0wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +87.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…4cbabacked Yes | 36c | 280.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9c…5e32backed No | 6c | 279.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?this page
- Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?Yes won
- Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Brevis FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Brevis FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
- Brevis FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.