TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0b52…8aa4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: IPO, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category IPO at 52 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.23
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+124.1%+$148.35
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+41%+$90.45
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$104.46
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$51.53
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$303.16
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 4 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$28.8
LoL: T1 Academy vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$36.46
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+96.1%+$98
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$59.99
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$25.5
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+51.5%+$99.09
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$341.61
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Playoffsbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+88.9%+$142.37
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3)backed EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$67
LoL: Top Esports vs Weibo Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+229.7%+$69.69
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$96.67
LoL: DRX Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Group Stagebacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$184.19
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+41.8%+$4.57
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$198.2
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+25%+$17.55
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+160.5%+$80.23
Mexico vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$18.39
Mexico vs. England: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.69
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.34
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.5
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$9.67
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$60
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+113.4%+$76.76
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
All 17 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-52.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$995Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$994.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.