Token Launches · resolved market
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7666a3448afed347d24207f454c7b5a592c66d593199f982b5a6d534919657e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $273,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $323,309
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $273,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 2c | 25,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…460dbacked Yes | 75c | 12,249$9,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,109.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 26c | 9,984$2,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,571.77 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed No | 6c | 9,922$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.41 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked No | 26c | 8,774$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.85 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 8,626$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 5,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…8263backed No | 34c | 5,391$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840.36 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 5,100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1549…46f6backed No | 29c | 3,355$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.46 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed Yes | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a49…7d21backed No | 15c | 2,892$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.03 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…e578backed Yes | 46c | 2,892$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.77 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 23c | 2,870$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.13 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 17c | 2,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…ba96backed No | 29c | 2,065$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.41 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 19cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed No | 25c | 2,014$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.44 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…50ffbacked No | 53c | 1,760$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.02 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…ff45backed No | 21c | 1,748$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.86 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 8c | 1,665$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…8aa4backed Yes | 67c | 1,610$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 3c | 1,603$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.17 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9a…6924backed No | 27c | 1,591$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.85 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 27c | 1,574$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.27 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9a…467bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,555$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.81 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a6…d1bbbacked No | 37c | 1,527$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.16 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0f…df2bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,517$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.12 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 34c | 1,500$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 1,466$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.52 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 22c | 1,386$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.02 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed Yes | 60c | 1,380$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.29 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb5…d941backed No | 15c | 1,374$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.2 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed No | 38c | 1,331$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.9 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d65…7d4abacked No | 26c | 1,305$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.67 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 27c | 1,300$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 22c | 1,283$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.94 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 93 | 2.2%2 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked No | 25c | 1,250$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6581…0206backed Yes | 59c | 1,192$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.68 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 2c | 1,182$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc2…4958backed No | 23c | 1,171$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20cd…5634backed Yes | 59c | 1,147$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f47…fc05backed No | 3c | 1,100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked No | 16c | 1,058$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed No | 42c | 1,047$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.64 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 72c | 999.97$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.99 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…3b03backed No | 35c | 977.19$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.99 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…72a9backed No | 23c | 962.56$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 69c | 940.85$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776b…7251backed No | 27c | 900$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.04 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 41c | 899.21$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.96 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf500…d9e5backed No | 27c | 895.42$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e85…1f81backed No | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 38c | 797.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 32c | 762.55$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc43d…8f2bbacked Yes | 57c | 707.58$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.03 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked No | 3c | 700$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 75 | 4%3 W · 72 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 72c | 677.27$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2609…d39bbacked Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa488…4a49backed No | 25c | 660$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.2 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed No | 34c | 653$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.82 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf72…af1abacked No | 32c | 652.85$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 21c | 615.91$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…c006backed Yes | 47c | 600.82$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.43 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 4c | 600$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad63…27babacked No | 35c | 570.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d0…cd9abacked Yes | 64c | 569.35$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 67cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc853…cdedbacked No | 26c | 560.11$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 30c | 530.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.37 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc016…cf73backed No | 23c | 512.8$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.86 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…b39ebacked Yes | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5b…dba4backed Yes | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7329…d562backed No | 10c | 458.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e2…c86fbacked No | 42c | 455.2$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed No | 21c | 450$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 31c | 423.22$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 19c | 410.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.52 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Yes | 61c | 408.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.83 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9986…1dfbbacked No | 51c | 388.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d028backed Yes | 79c | 387$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 67c | 381.52$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.77 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…c4e9backed No | 27c | 369.13$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…1319backed No | 23c | 363.29$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.95 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd004…0437backed Yes | 79c | 348$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.08 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab4…2191backed No | 30c | 347.95$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…77d6backed No | 26c | 340.93$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.19 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…7929backed Yes | 70c | 334$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca45…1d6bbacked Yes | 64c | 330.74$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x989c…69f4backed No | 12c | 328$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.02 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…fba4backed Yes | 62c | 305.34$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9d…1c47backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed No | 21c | 299.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe656…5e07backed No | 22c | 299.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…16afbacked Yes | 52c | 299.04$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca6…6392backed Yes | 69c | 291.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90a…78e1backed No | 27c | 289.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…01b9backed No | 48c | 289.73$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 21c | 285.42$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.78 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?this page
- Brevis FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes won
- Brevis FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Brevis FDV above $200M one day after launch?Yes won
- Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?Yes won
- Brevis FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- Brevis FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Brevis FDV above $700M one day after launch?No won
- Brevis FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.