TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd062…7929

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
67
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.9
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$42.24
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+141.7%+$24.62
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$16.4
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$348Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$347.66
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$935.24
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$897Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$897.1
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+113.1%+$345
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$268
Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+25.6%+$4.78
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$550
Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$958Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.6%+$341.5
Moonbirds FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+220.4%+$625.99
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Trove FDV above $2M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+31.6%+$4.8
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$26
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$80.62
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+85.2%+$23
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$29
Brevis FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+316.7%+$200.64
Brevis FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+43.7%+$101.54
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$120
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$244.46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$265
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$71.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$389Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+28.4%+$110.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+75.1%+$429
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+128.9%+$393.11
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$167
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$355Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+83.1%+$295
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$200
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$649Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100.3%+$651
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$1,245.01
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$469
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$639Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$638.99
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.2%+$561.64
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$806Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+41.8%+$336.72
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$310.83
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$29.42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.4
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,450 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$31.6
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+87.3%+$93.2
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$175.14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+391.8%+$119.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+50.4%+$33.5
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$126.25
Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+204.4%+$780.27
Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$41.76
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Will Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+84%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$137.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$83
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.