Token Launches · resolved market
Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc18f9689dc7cd627ece86915847c300c47f34b44aa0ca42b4d6534f6894b5c8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $131,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $131,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b6c…70a8backed No | 0c | 11,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…b3c2backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfe…fbdfbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf290…4a83backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…ed6dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c6…69a3backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…a57cbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…5311backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 7,544$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…5469backed No | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa741…e365backed Yes | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf23…ca8ebacked No | 35c | 2,100$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…12bbbacked No | 32c | 2,020$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55df…6d05backed No | 32c | 1,980$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…236fbacked No | 35c | 1,900$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b2…a321backed No | 35c | 1,101$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.13 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 12c | 1,101$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.27 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…ed5abacked Yes | 65c | 981.77$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…16debacked No | 25c | 872.63$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 20c | 758.67$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.34 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed No | 12c | 717.34$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed No | 13c | 628.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.87 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 21c | 597.26$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.51 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67c1…8083backed Yes | 73c | 592.15$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +285.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8a…15f7backed Yes | 77c | 500$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cab…417abacked No | 22c | 431.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.86 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed No | 21c | 399.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed No | 16c | 336.92$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c77…f1d6backed No | 29c | 314.12$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.41 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 77c | 302.5$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 24c | 259.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.41 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…4ae5backed No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f45…6bf7backed Yes | 63c | 237.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 222.95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked No | 11c | 219.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 33c | 206.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.37 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbef7…0b4dbacked No | 12c | 202.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 79c | 200$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…bf03backed No | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 188.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…1685backed Yes | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfed…e820backed Yes | 77c | 175.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 32c | 160.06$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d50…436fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Yes | 78c | 152.23$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c3…1f1cbacked No | 20c | 151.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed Yes | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b2…b602backed No | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb9…afbbbacked Yes | 67c | 149.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…5796backed No | 13c | 148.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 22cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 24c | 134.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.84 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes | 76c | 132.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…6b66backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…28a8backed No | 30c | 108.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 15c | 106.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 17c | 102.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2a6ebacked No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 49cpaid | +61%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…3ae6backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…fa95backed No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…1d83backed No | 21c | 98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…1fc1backed Yes | 77c | 95.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed No | 35c | 95.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…2ae3backed Yes | 72c | 86.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…4454backed No | 35c | 82.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…d205backed Yes | 65c | 76.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 40cpaid | -83%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes | 66c | 73.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…5786backed No | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbc…167cbacked Yes | 61c | 65.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…0506backed Yes | 69c | 62.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6088…09bbbacked No | 20c | 51.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeeb…dd00backed No | 25c | 51.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…e628backed Yes | 79c | 49.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa988…f921backed No | 21c | 49.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283a…e607backed Yes | 71c | 34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd90…418ebacked No | 37c | 32.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…c9d0backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…ce04backed Yes | 71c | 26.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +84.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd062…7929backed Yes | 80c | 23.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3477…3aafbacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec26…c346backed Yes | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d65…ee79backed Yes | 79c | 18.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a8…8718backed Yes | 79c | 13.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?this page
- Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.