Token Launches · resolved market
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7395ea037d9980357a789e0ead46d8c7f17470ec5dd9bf7c3f99388135e7b9ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,892
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $238,350
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,892 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08e5…e255backed Yes | 45c | 12,970$5,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,788.64 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 23c | 11,551$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.28 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 38c | 10,642$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,566.47 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…1382backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca0…0fd3backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd8…e362backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…3df6backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…3fedbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…396fbacked Yes | 61c | 7,500$4,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,574.98 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a40…4093backed Yes | 18c | 6,544$1,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.69 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…b175backed Yes | 66c | 4,350$2,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,884.46 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c93…6df6backed No | 79c | 3,415$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…f8c4backed No | 35c | 3,236$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.71 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d4…6d24backed Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.98 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2d…84e6backed No | 34c | 2,974$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,948.54 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 71c | 2,853$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.68 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,677$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…ac2bbacked No | 35c | 2,646$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.92 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 36c | 2,510$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.59 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…e2bbbacked No | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Yes | 18c | 2,324$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.29 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf17…6cc6backed No | 26c | 2,144$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,593.46 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +8.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x97af…9bc6backed No | 79c | 2,128$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…e6f6backed No | 50c | 1,742$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.58 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 8c | 1,567$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.98 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed Yes | 4c | 1,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 79c | 1,487$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.14 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec8…3ba4backed Yes | 76c | 1,430$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…30cbbacked No | 50c | 1,384$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.17 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 37c | 1,362$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.58 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 34c | 1,303$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864.54 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b4…4454backed No | 68c | 1,215$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc622…8f86backed No | 78c | 1,212$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.35 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked No | 38c | 1,206$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.7 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,197$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 51c | 1,082$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.69 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567d…f927backed Yes | 65c | 1,069$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…ab27backed Yes | 15c | 999.28$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 75c | 986.52$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.63 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 5c | 763.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed No | 65c | 750$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 64c | 719.99$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.49 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed Yes | 17c | 716.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked No | 25c | 715.31$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.48 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…1a89backed No | 76c | 702.89$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.69 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 4c | 700$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 32c | 679.6$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.51 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d48…6573backed Yes | 75c | 664.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…dd70backed No | 27c | 650$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 643.97$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ced…1f21backed No | 77c | 617.31$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.83 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed No | 31c | 614$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.36 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 563.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 43c | 549.57$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.57 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…ec76backed No | 33c | 522.53$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -24%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe55…48fabacked Yes | 77c | 516$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…177bbacked No | 39c | 509.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.47 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…2c41backed No | 78c | 500.62$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…0267backed No | 42c | 500.38$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…4ae5backed No | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…3044backed No | 44c | 440.91$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 400$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 52c | 361.82$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.05 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 71c | 359.99$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x302e…00b6backed Yes | 25c | 359$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0822…84e5backed No | 36c | 351.75$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.3wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +206.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…5786backed No | 44c | 337.3$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.09 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…e259backed Yes | 66c | 320.5$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.53 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…6916backed Yes | 60c | 320$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d79…2f2fbacked No | 75c | 310.53$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x888d…2dd6backed Yes | 45c | 309.99$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.7 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…2d74backed No | 66c | 305.61$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked No | 80c | 305.52$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +565.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…888fbacked No | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9d…a8a2backed No | 30c | 300$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x487a…56d4backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.23per pick | 34cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…4528backed No | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b52…0db3backed Yes | 34c | 296.31$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.24 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…62c2backed No | 56c | 291.85$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.46 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x314b…dd2fbacked No | 78c | 287.41$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58b…51fdbacked No | 36c | 279$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.92 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…62fcbacked Yes | 60c | 273$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149d…24babacked No | 71c | 270$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…1993backed No | 37c | 267$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.54 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a79…d6cebacked No | 40c | 250.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a84…c26fbacked Yes | 62c | 250$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…bf03backed No | 33c | 247.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.94 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…4136backed No | 26c | 247.61$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.4 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec3…22dfbacked No | 77c | 244$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…c2dabacked No | 41c | 243.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.25 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…d5cfbacked No | 34c | 240.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.21 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fc…0109backed No | 80c | 230$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb631…8a87backed No | 38c | 222.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…5de9backed Yes | 7c | 215.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5669…e058backed No | 26c | 208.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19d…4bc5backed Yes | 75c | 207.31$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 67c | 204.86$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.96 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3754…b920backed Yes | 20c | 202.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?this page
- Rainbow FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $1B one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $30M one day after launch?Yes won
- Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $600M one day after launch?No won
- Rainbow FDV above $800M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.