TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f5c…a5de

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
185
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 106 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
High Point Panthers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.15
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.98
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Tennessee Volunteersbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$725Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$725.23
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$841.89
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Arkansas Razorbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$499.61
Villanova Wildcats vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Villanova Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$793.81
Stony Brook Seawolves vs. Hofstra Pridebacked Stony Brook Seawolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$415.23
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+456.4%+$2,048.44
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Cincinnati Bearcatsbacked Oklahoma State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$478.82
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$498.41
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$308Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$307.68
SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+170.3%+$531.13
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$298.08
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Grand Canyon Antelopesbacked UNLV Runnin' Rebels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$294.45
Ohio State Buckeyes vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$280.2
Portland Pilots vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Portland Pilots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$47.26
Butler Bulldogs vs. Villanova Wildcatsbacked Butler Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$254Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$253.74
Georgia Southern Eagles vs. James Madison Dukesbacked Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$325.65
St. John's Red Storm vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$335Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$335.03
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Northern Iowa Panthersbacked Illinois State Redbirds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+195.1%+$590.33
Holy Cross Crusaders vs. Boston Terriersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$227.73
Florida Gators vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$309.9
Wofford Terriers vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersbacked Wofford Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+280.2%+$878.4
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$286Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$286.16
USC Trojans vs. UCLA Bruinsbacked USC Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$408.03
Showing 25 of 106 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $60M committed to the RipCars public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.15
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$414Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$414.46
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$522Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$521.61
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$243.32
Over $2M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$384Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.4
Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$318.31
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,090Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+400%+$4,360
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$1,164.89
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$539.14
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,825Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+136.1%+$2,485.05
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$394Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$393.6
Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$274.74
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$646
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$895Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$895.15
Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+300%+$536.48
Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$613Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$613.18
Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+391.6%+$163.08
Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,879Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+138%+$2,592.15
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$376Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+434.1%+$1,632.76
Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$373Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+183.9%+$686.74
Over $2M committed to the Fabric public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$56.85
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$101.52
All 23 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT2010%2 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick18cpaid-65.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,009.78
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$349Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$349.08
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$153
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$220
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$372Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$372.26
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$21.6
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,289Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$1,288.99
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+163.2%+$812.2
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$860Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$859.8
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$250
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$219.99
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$121.93
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,059Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$1,058.67
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+325.9%+$1,530.35
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$928Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$928.36
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$75
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$748Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$747.57
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$105
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$299.2
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-83.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$776Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$775.8
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.7
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$2,342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,342.38
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$3,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,004.55
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$647.5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$557Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$557.23
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,019Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+84%+$856.23
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$383.22
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$997.55
Will the US strike Iran next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$66.37
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.36per pick14cpaid+292.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.52
Thailand vs. Kuwait: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$717Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$717.24
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.51
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$954Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$953.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. forces board Bella 1 by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$85
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$143.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,069Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$1,068.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.