Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe6e7e9f1a8202f1a19f588382139666229b9793e54bdf79dae5bc57f9caa88c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- California Golden Bearsof SMU Mustangs, California Golden Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,956
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,956 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked California Golden Bears | 50c | 10,736$5,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,401.3 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked SMU Mustangs | 49c | 8,088$3,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,940.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked SMU Mustangs | 51c | 4,159$2,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,110.2 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 3,873$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,440.24 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked California Golden Bears | 66c | 3,515$2,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,189.35 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed California Golden Bears | 45c | 2,698$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480.99 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked SMU Mustangs | 63c | 2,601$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.02 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed California Golden Bears | 43c | 2,092$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.49 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked SMU Mustangs | 55c | 2,007$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096.44 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked California Golden Bears | 37c | 1,545$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.9 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed California Golden Bears | 47c | 1,498$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.23 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc589…0bd6backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 1,357$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked California Golden Bears | 62c | 1,137$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.06 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47cb…dfdabacked SMU Mustangs | 39c | 1,106$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.38 | 365 | 35.9%131 W · 234 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked California Golden Bears | 38c | 1,093$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.22 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed California Golden Bears | 47c | 969.24$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked SMU Mustangs | 25c | 949.43$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.92 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked California Golden Bears | 37c | 843.07$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.13 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed SMU Mustangs | 54c | 790.15$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.57 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked California Golden Bears | 49c | 784.61$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked SMU Mustangs | 62c | 652.77$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.34 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked California Golden Bears | 42c | 643.59$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.97 | 318 | 37.7%120 W · 198 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed California Golden Bears | 37c | 536.59$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.05 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed California Golden Bears | 40c | 533.44$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.23 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 502.02$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.65 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked California Golden Bears | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked California Golden Bears | 36c | 499.17$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.49 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed SMU Mustangs | 51c | 488.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 239 | 41.4%99 W · 140 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed California Golden Bears | 58c | 459.47$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked California Golden Bears | 51c | 428.14$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.85 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked SMU Mustangs | 45c | 427.76$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.37 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 409.4$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked California Golden Bears | 52c | 403.03$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.14 | 397 | 42.8%170 W · 227 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 324.69$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.84 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SMU Mustangs | 53c | 311.61$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.35 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88d…2750backed SMU Mustangs | 65c | 283.62$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.35 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee28…8266backed SMU Mustangs | 49c | 279.6$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 164 | 36%59 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…b9b7backed SMU Mustangs | 55c | 269.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed California Golden Bears | 65c | 251.6$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.29 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked California Golden Bears | 37c | 244$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.72 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 234.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked California Golden Bears | 36c | 211.58$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.41 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked California Golden Bears | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed SMU Mustangs | 46c | 168.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…c029backed SMU Mustangs | 53c | 163.52$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.26 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked SMU Mustangs | 67c | 154.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 153.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.35 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked SMU Mustangs | 52c | 142.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.35 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed SMU Mustangs | 47c | 116.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1e…21a1backed California Golden Bears | 57c | 110.51$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed SMU Mustangs | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed SMU Mustangs | 62c | 105.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.17 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed SMU Mustangs | 38c | 100.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.47 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked California Golden Bears | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed California Golden Bears | 37c | 99.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed California Golden Bears | 38c | 99.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.49 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa82f…9fb8backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 95.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed California Golden Bears | 51c | 83.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.29 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…f968backed SMU Mustangs | 63c | 78.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.59 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed California Golden Bears | 37c | 78.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed SMU Mustangs | 45c | 78.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked California Golden Bears | 49c | 77.74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed SMU Mustangs | 44c | 74.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked California Golden Bears | 62c | 67.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked SMU Mustangs | 46c | 64.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 322 | 46.6%150 W · 172 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe300…8b9ebacked California Golden Bears | 41c | 62.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked SMU Mustangs | 50c | 59.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed California Golden Bears | 37c | 57.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed California Golden Bears | 52c | 57.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed SMU Mustangs | 61c | 56.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed SMU Mustangs | 64c | 56.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.85 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93e3…e590backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 51.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -9.9wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed California Golden Bears | 54c | 51.02$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 309 | 45.6%141 W · 168 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed SMU Mustangs | 65c | 49.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed California Golden Bears | 58c | 49.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 221 | 57.9%128 W · 93 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed SMU Mustangs | 52c | 49.56$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked California Golden Bears | 48c | 46.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…80bbbacked SMU Mustangs | 44c | 44.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed California Golden Bears | 43c | 44.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed California Golden Bears | 55c | 44.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce4c…8ba8backed SMU Mustangs | 60c | 40.45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed California Golden Bears | 39c | 38.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed California Golden Bears | 57c | 34.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed SMU Mustangs | 61c | 30.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed California Golden Bears | 38c | 28.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed SMU Mustangs | 48c | 28.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked SMU Mustangs | 61c | 26.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked SMU Mustangs | 57c | 22.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed SMU Mustangs | 56c | 21.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 195 | 22.1%43 W · 152 L | -36.3wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed SMU Mustangs | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed California Golden Bears | 68c | 16.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bearsthis page
- SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 161.5Under won
- SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bears: O/U 162.5Under won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-3.5)California Golden Bears won
- Spread: SMU Mustangs (-4.5)California Golden Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.