TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7a2b…cb3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
110
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST6549.2%32 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 65 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs. Maryland Terrapinsbacked Maryland Terrapins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
La Salle Explorers vs. Davidson Wildcatsbacked La Salle Explorers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.86
North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazersbacked UAB Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$31.24
Northeastern Huskies vs. Hampton Piratesbacked Northeastern Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.79
Southeastern Louisiana Lions vs. Nicholls Colonelsbacked Southeastern Louisiana Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$53.54
Ball State Cardinals vs. Northern Illinois Huskiesbacked Ball State Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$34.65
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Iowa State Cyclones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$37.57
Pittsburgh Panthers vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.01
NJIT Highlanders vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35.25
Boston Terriers vs. American Eaglesbacked American Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$59.98
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Rhode Island Ramsbacked Saint Joseph's Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+201.7%+$75.61
Colorado Buffaloes vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Colorado Buffaloes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$13.8
Florida State Seminoles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Florida State Seminoles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$13.45
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.35
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs. Holy Cross Crusadersbacked Holy Cross Crusaders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$43.62
Yale Bulldogs vs. Cornell Big Redbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$63.89
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Southeast Missouri State Redhawksbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+137.4%+$16.57
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocksbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$16.85
Rhode Island Rams vs. St. Bonaventure Bonniesbacked Rhode Island Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$86.85
SMU Mustangs vs. California Golden Bearsbacked California Golden Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+104.1%+$39.65
San Diego Toreros vs. Oregon State Beaversbacked San Diego Toreros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$13.02
DePaul Blue Demons vs. Creighton Bluejaysbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+211.5%+$52.49
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Boston College Eaglesbacked Boston College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+175.3%+$32.55
Bucknell Bison vs. Army Black Knightsbacked Army Black Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$42.82
Miami Hurricanes vs. Florida State Seminolesbacked Miami Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+43.3%+$20.81
Showing 25 of 65 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+48%+$44.85
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$105.19
Trail Blazers vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$18.04
Heat vs. 76ersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48.26
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122%+$38.88
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+212.6%+$193.29
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$28.98
Spurs vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.09
Knicks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$36.89
Nets vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+332.4%+$87.48
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$47.73
Cavaliers vs. Thunderbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$36.1
Rockets vs. Knicksbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$32.68
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.4
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+79.9%+$12.97
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$107.39
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+45.9%+$69.44
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+32.4%+$8.06
Pacers vs. Wizardsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$59
All 20 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Utahbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+139.9%+$20
Jets vs. Sharksbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.34
Sabres vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.1
Oilers vs. Sharksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.67
Wild vs. Utahbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$11.07
Flames vs. Sharksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+36.5%+$4.74
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$52.52
Islanders vs. Canadiensbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+113.2%+$23.4
Blue Jackets vs. Bruinsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$24.62
Devils vs. Penguinsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$18.99
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+204.9%+$108.89
Golden Knights vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$51.89
Avalanche vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$11.98
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+46.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+106.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.73
Will West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+170.4%+$91.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+89.6%+$11.93
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$26.4
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-02-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$16.42
All 2 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.