TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Islanders vs. Canadiens

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Islandersof Islanders, Canadiens
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$291,386
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$307,038

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,386 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 373 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Islanders43c91,139$39,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,995.3567051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens54c61,738$33,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,338.091,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Islanders46c44,444$20,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,999.7644848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Canadiens57c27,294$15,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,558.6861950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens57c20,820$11,875 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,875.041,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4001,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Canadiens57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70014650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Canadiens60c8,983$5,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,377.1621755.3%120 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Islanders43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.9715749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Canadiens57c6,912$3,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9404047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Canadiens75c6,252$4,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,709.841,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens57c6,000$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,42033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Canadiens56c5,183$2,906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,906.281,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Canadiens56c5,000$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,799.981,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Islanders43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,849.9756649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Islanders43c4,802$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,736.9456152%292 W · 269 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders28c4,801$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,437.9938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Islanders52c3,175$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,517.875563.6%35 W · 20 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders46c3,029$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.211,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Canadiens56c2,827$1,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,582.861957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Canadiens57c2,785$1,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,587.452650%13 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4ea…583cbacked Canadiens1c2,727$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fbe…b84fbacked Canadiens57c2,632$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50018258.2%106 W · 76 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Islanders19c2,562$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,072.2821555.3%119 W · 96 L+17.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Canadiens56c2,310$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,293.535149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Islanders18c2,306$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.5839344.8%176 W · 217 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Islanders33c2,095$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.892,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Canadiens79c2,061$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.0758467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Canadiens57c1,863$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.9161953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Canadiens55c1,803$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1421849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce50…b747backed Canadiens57c1,754$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008756.3%49 W · 38 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Canadiens57c1,749$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.7563249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Islanders18c1,746$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.841,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Canadiens57c1,635$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.1460249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Canadiens55c1,587$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.5813948.2%67 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Canadiens57c1,500$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.9760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Canadiens57c1,347$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.6243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Islanders25c1,235$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.255959.3%35 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe74a…f1bfbacked Islanders43c1,186$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.052458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7b9…41a9backed Islanders30c1,173$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.4623159.3%137 W · 94 L+22.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Canadiens68c1,163$791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.051,84657.2%1,055 W · 791 L+85.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a18…85b5backed Islanders33c1,149$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.912387%20 W · 3 L+6.4wins+0.28per pick59cpaid+52%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Canadiens9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f72…0841backed Canadiens57c1,062$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605.288253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Canadiens55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55027150.2%136 W · 135 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Islanders44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56070547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Canadiens57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57027048.1%130 W · 140 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Canadiens79c988$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$778.7252172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9807…157bbacked Islanders43c931.89$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.1820144.8%90 W · 111 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Canadiens57c913.74$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.2951949.5%257 W · 262 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Canadiens57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5134650%23 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…c5f6backed Canadiens57c899.96$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc070…203abacked Canadiens57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015252%79 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0acc…9dc1backed Canadiens57c877.19$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025052.8%132 W · 118 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens57c871.89$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6170249%344 W · 358 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Islanders42c826.32$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.5848050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9852…111abacked Canadiens57c778.95$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4448845.5%40 W · 48 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x05cb…c743backed Canadiens58c706.9$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4101957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Canadiens57c687$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.5939649.5%196 W · 200 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Islanders28c686$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.6134538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Islanders43c661.29$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.681,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…e4f1backed Canadiens57c643.79$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.962040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Islanders16c618.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.3582043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Canadiens73c557.25$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.5228652.4%150 W · 136 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f8…dc5dbacked Canadiens57c546.85$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3104163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+30.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Islanders14c531.02$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.8722728.2%64 W · 163 L-17.6wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders36c530.39$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.131,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b4…cdb2backed Canadiens58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2906150.8%31 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5d…807abacked Canadiens58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Islanders27c500$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.831,14051.5%587 W · 553 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa5b8…99f3backed Canadiens6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick4cpaid+971.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Canadiens58c481.4$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.2124749.8%123 W · 124 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Canadiens57c463.2$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.7986549.1%425 W · 440 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x298c…c31cbacked Canadiens58c459.78$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.671662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd51e…1ce6backed Canadiens57c454.55$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.094143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Canadiens56c442.14$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.633950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Canadiens57c438.6$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc86…5897backed Islanders43c420$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+29.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfab…f848backed Canadiens58c420$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.61421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.29per pick50cpaid-52.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4b74…2ef6backed Canadiens57c404.84$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.762740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Islanders43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281,22046.1%562 W · 658 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Islanders46c400$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.883250%16 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Islanders43c377.16$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.981,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24ac…f6b4backed Islanders27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3734941.3%144 W · 205 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Canadiens56c358.63$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.8362346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Canadiens56c358$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.4847051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Canadiens53c341.8$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.1699638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Islanders44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9119353.9%104 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e5b…a569backed Islanders44c340.91$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9122655.8%126 W · 100 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe888…3456backed Islanders44c331.98$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.912934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.8wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Canadiens57c319$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.83560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e00…9e93backed Canadiens57c316.58$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.315160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb4e…ed50backed Islanders44c310.14$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.682138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Canadiens57c309.55$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5258947%277 W · 312 L-23.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39a8…f170backed Canadiens58c307.71$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.4711644%51 W · 65 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Islanders44c305.53$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.8932150.8%163 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Canadiens42c304.19$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.7613336.1%48 W · 85 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc65c…44bcbacked Islanders26c300.65$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.215427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb91e…b045backed Canadiens10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3080%0 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Canadiens57c299.99$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17153546.4%248 W · 287 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.