NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5cdceef5a3aebcad2d6f04b8fe2427e742dca88d69afd394ae7327cc682e1800
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 44c | 2,183$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.11 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 42c | 1,863$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.93 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Over | 58c | 1,504$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.11 | 434 | 56%243 W · 191 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b17…3d0ebacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5341…ab74backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf621…2f9abacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30e2…497dbacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd323…09b8backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd7…1184backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8848…e1fcbacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd5…2d45backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7e…0a20backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad08…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbd6…b85abacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972a…e976backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…ccf3backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa452…3fb6backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb76…f35abacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x271d…5ad0backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7506…c497backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5efa…06a7backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b07…a40bbacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…8653backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2f…9dfcbacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0701…51f3backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…23a2backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2af5…872fbacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…ca84backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…9fbabacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ae…739ebacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…8eebbacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…bea9backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…604dbacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x388f…5e58backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fad…30b7backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfb…06f6backed Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7481…0c6bbacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb518…5dc9backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0e…3867backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e2…c4febacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5395…f19fbacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…a70cbacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1d…1125backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99cd…7e6bbacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea88…cb4cbacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42bf…9cccbacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3b…feeabacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ec…c4f8backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b0…bbf7backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…505abacked Under | 46c | 1,370$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…6c64backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e6…14e0backed Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e6…a24bbacked Over | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 59c | 1,016$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.58 | 308 | 55.5%171 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 59c | 1,009$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.88 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 57c | 892$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.47 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 41c | 508.45$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.91 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Over | 57c | 406$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.64 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 40c | 170.41$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 215 | 55.3%119 W · 96 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x78e0…2bb0backed Over | 58c | 135$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.35 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 42c | 119.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Over | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Under | 71c | 83$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Over | 29c | 78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 41c | 52.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 47c | 49.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 42c | 43.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bdf…2f97backed Under | 45c | 33.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd058…0613backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Under | 42c | 24.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…5d05backed Under | 44c | 23.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…d098backed Over | 57c | 17.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5this page
- Islanders vs. CanadiensIslanders won
- Islanders vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.