TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91d9…5d05

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
86
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12.18
Magic vs. Lakersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$30.84
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$13.06
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.72
Thunder vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$17.35
Spread: Thunder (-1.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$18.85
Warriors vs. Pelicans: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$13.1
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20.59
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4.02
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+49.3%+$8.86
Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10.27
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$52.74
Utah vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$63.26
Avalanche vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$150.01
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$63.23
Golden Knights vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+92.3%+$9.32
Flames vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.33
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
Islanders vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$10.28
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.11
Oilers vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Sabres vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$10.1
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25.31
Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.57
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)backed AS Monaco FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$8.3
Real Madrid CF vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$24.32
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$22.21
Atalanta BC vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.12
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+117.4%+$13.09
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$13.32
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$14.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.29per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$79.02
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$123.65
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+142.9%+$93.23
Counter-Strike: NIP vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$47.67
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+78.6%+$55.81
Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Bounty Hunters Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+105.1%+$10.79
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest: European Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+122.2%+$12.36
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs ENCE (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffsbacked ENCE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+143.9%+$27.62
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs ODDIK (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+42.9%+$5.75
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+149.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.83
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-13.5)backed Utah Utes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$11.48
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Dayton Flyersbacked Dayton Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+150%+$15.8
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$6.18
Ferencvárosi TC vs. PFK Ludogorets 1945 Razgrad: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+112.8%+$11.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60.97
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Getafe CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$47.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$46.29
Will NAC Breda win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+56.3%+$5.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $180 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+125.7%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$12.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$10.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.